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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.0x - 1.1x | 1.0x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.9x - 1.0x | 0.9x |
| Fair Value | €2.80 - €3.20 | €3 |
| Upside | 1.4% - 16.0% | 8.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Thai Union Group Public Company Limited | TU | SET:TU |
| Austevoll Seafood ASA | AUSS | OB:AUSS |
| Mowi ASA | MOWI | OB:MOWI |
| Sea Harvest Group Limited | SHG | JSE:SHG |
| RFG Holdings Limited | RFG | JSE:RFG |
| Oceana Group Limited | O1F | MUN:O1F |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| TU | AUSS | MOWI | SHG | RFG | O1F | |||
| SET:TU | OB:AUSS | OB:MOWI | JSE:SHG | JSE:RFG | MUN:O1F | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 1.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -0.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 10.4% | 11.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.7% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 15.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.4% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 15.4% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.0% | 9.6% | 17.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 14.1% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.2% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 16.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.2% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 16.0% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.69x | 1.08x | 1.85x | 0.75x | 0.65x | 0.98x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 13.4x | 9.4x | 12.6x | 9.0x | 6.2x | 6.2x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.32x | 0.54x | 1.44x | 0.31x | 0.59x | 0.72x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.65x | 0.75x | 1.85x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.98x | 1.25x | 1.36x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.99x | 1.04x | 1.10x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 10,061 | 10,061 | 10,061 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 9,974 | 10,499 | 11,023 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,637) | (2,637) | (2,637) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 7,337 | 7,862 | 8,386 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 120.0 | 120.0 | 120.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 61.15 | 65.53 | 69.90 | |||||
| FX Rate: ZAR/EUR | 21.4 | 21.4 | 21.4 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.85 | 3.06 | 3.26 | 2.76 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 3.3% | 10.7% | 18.1% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TU | AUSS | MOWI | SHG | RFG | O1F | |
| Enterprise Value | 95,755 | 38,231 | 10,470 | 5,408 | 5,200 | 9,738 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 16,464 | 5,719 | 277 | 336 | 192 | 764 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 9,626 | 3,843 | 213 | 83 | 0 | 274 | |
| (-) Debt | (70,252) | (15,923) | (2,676) | (3,614) | (644) | (3,534) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (7,678) | (12,596) | (166) | 10 | (10) | (141) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 43,915 | 19,274 | 8,118 | 2,223 | 4,737 | 7,101 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,104.2 | 201.8 | 517.1 | 336.8 | 259.6 | 120.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 10.70 | 95.50 | 15.70 | 6.60 | 18.25 | 59.19 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 21.45 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 10.70 | 95.50 | 189.00 | 6.60 | 18.25 | 2.76 | |
| Trading Currency | THB | NOK | NOK | ZAR | ZAR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 21.45 | |