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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 15.2x - 16.8x | 16.0x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 4.5x - 5.0x | 4.8x |
| Fair Value | £0.065 - £0.12 | £0.091 |
| Upside | -49.8% - -9.4% | -29.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Grafton Group plc | GFTU | LSE:GFTU |
| Herige | 34 | LSE:0O34 |
| Luceco plc | LUCE | LSE:LUCE |
| Volution Group plc | FAN | LSE:FAN |
| Genuit Group plc | GEN | LSE:GEN |
| SIG plc | SHI | LSE:SHI |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| GFTU | 34 | LUCE | FAN | GEN | SHI | ||
| LSE:GFTU | LSE:0O34 | LSE:LUCE | LSE:FAN | LSE:GEN | LSE:SHI | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -2.1% | -3.1% | 2.4% | 12.8% | 2.5% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | -11.2% | -13.9% | -12.3% | 10.7% | -1.2% | -9.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -10.8% | -41.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | -9.1% | -38.9% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 11.8% | 5.1% | 14.7% | 21.2% | 18.4% | -0.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.5% | 5.1% | 13.2% | 22.4% | 20.1% | 2.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.5% | 4.8% | 11.8% | 23.6% | 19.1% | 1.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.5% | 4.8% | 11.8% | 22.6% | 19.1% | 1.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.83x | 0.14x | 1.05x | 3.38x | 1.82x | 0.24x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.7x | 3.0x | 8.9x | 14.9x | 9.5x | 17.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 12.3x | -5.5x | 11.0x | 18.0x | 13.9x | 29.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.0x | 8.9x | 14.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -125.6x | 9.2x | 17.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.2x | 16.0x | 16.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 36 | 36 | 36 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 547 | 576 | 604 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (500) | (500) | (500) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 47 | 76 | 105 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,162.3 | 1,162.3 | 1,162.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.09 | ||||
| FX Rate: GBP/GBP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.13 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -68.5% | -49.3% | -30.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | GFTU | 34 | LUCE | FAN | GEN | SHI | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,913 | 63 | 258 | 1,249 | 1,030 | 649 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 509 | 88 | 5 | 11 | 44 | 87 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (641) | (99) | (79) | (196) | (173) | (587) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,782 | 53 | 185 | 1,063 | 901 | 150 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 195.5 | 2.4 | 152.5 | 198.0 | 248.3 | 1,162.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 9.12 | 22.50 | 1.21 | 5.37 | 3.63 | 0.13 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 9.12 | 22.50 | 1.21 | 5.37 | 3.63 | 0.13 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | EUR | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |