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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 3.0x - 3.3x | 3.1x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 7.0x - 7.7x | 7.3x |
Fair Value | £0.34 - £0.38 | £0.36 |
Upside | 50.8% - 65.5% | 58.1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Renew Holdings plc | RNWH | AIM:RNWH |
Morgan Sindall Group plc | MGNS | LSE:MGNS |
Balfour Beatty plc | BBY | LSE:BBY |
Costain Group PLC | COST | LSE:COST |
Van Elle Holdings plc | VANL | AIM:VANL |
Severfield plc | SFR | LSE:SFR |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
RNWH | MGNS | BBY | COST | VANL | SFR | ||
AIM:RNWH | LSE:MGNS | LSE:BBY | LSE:COST | AIM:VANL | LSE:SFR | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 15.0% | 16.0% | 5.2% | 23.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | |
3Y CAGR | 12.9% | 12.6% | 160.9% | NM- | NM- | 6.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 15.4% | 40.0% | -2.7% | 5.5% | -7.0% | 2.6% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | -0.2% | 1.3% | 6.3% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.3% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.55x | 0.23x | 0.17x | 0.12x | 0.31x | 0.13x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.3x | 5.6x | 7.5x | 3.3x | 4.0x | 1.5x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 8.5x | 5.9x | 9.7x | 3.3x | 9.1x | 2.0x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 3.3x | 8.5x | 9.7x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 5.2x | 7.2x | 8.6x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 3.0x | 3.1x | 3.3x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 32 | 32 | 32 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 94 | 99 | 104 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 8 | 8 | 8 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 102 | 107 | 112 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 296.2 | 296.2 | 296.2 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 0.34 | 0.36 | 0.38 | ||||
FX Rate: GBP/GBP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.34 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.23 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 50.8% | 58.1% | 65.5% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | RNWH | MGNS | BBY | COST | VANL | SFR | |
Enterprise Value | 553 | 1,046 | 1,369 | 153 | 42 | 60 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 80 | 544 | 1,558 | 159 | 4 | 9 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 4 | 112 | 430 | 0 | 0 | 38 | |
(-) Debt | (77) | (119) | (1,112) | (26) | (8) | (40) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (9) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 560 | 1,583 | 2,236 | 286 | 37 | 68 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 79.2 | 46.8 | 502.4 | 268.8 | 108.2 | 296.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 7.08 | 33.85 | 4.45 | 1.06 | 0.35 | 0.23 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 7.08 | 33.85 | 4.45 | 1.06 | 0.35 | 0.23 | |
Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |