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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 4.0x - 4.4x | 4.2x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 2.9x - 3.2x | 3.1x |
| Fair Value | £1.40 - £2 | £1.70 |
| Upside | 19.0% - 69.1% | 44.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Comstock Resources, Inc. | CRK | NYSE:CRK |
| Talos Energy Inc. | TALO | NYSE:TALO |
| CNX Resources Corporation | CNX | NYSE:CNX |
| Antero Resources Corporation | AR | NYSE:AR |
| Crescent Energy Company | CRGY | NYSE:CRGY |
| Kosmos Energy Ltd. | KOS | LSE:KOS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CRK | TALO | CNX | AR | CRGY | KOS | ||
| NYSE:CRK | NYSE:TALO | NYSE:CNX | NYSE:AR | NYSE:CRGY | LSE:KOS | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 2.6% | 19.3% | -15.5% | -8.3% | 24.7% | 3.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -25.8% | 39.7% | 150.2% | -1.7% | NM- | 17.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.3% | 23.7% | -89.1% | 8.8% | -5.4% | -21.8% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 67.0% | 56.1% | 52.7% | 20.4% | 35.3% | 50.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 53.3% | 68.8% | 182.7% | 27.9% | 55.7% | 67.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 50.0% | 62.8% | 36.4% | 19.1% | 42.8% | 53.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 51.9% | 62.8% | 12.4% | 22.5% | 42.8% | 53.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 6.43x | 1.25x | 4.54x | 3.22x | 2.06x | 2.08x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.4x | 2.0x | 36.7x | 14.4x | 4.8x | 3.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -311.1x | 25.0x | -24.0x | 65.9x | 41.8x | 8.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.0x | 12.4x | 36.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.6x | 4.8x | 14.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.0x | 4.2x | 4.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 892 | 892 | 892 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,544 | 3,731 | 3,918 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,675) | (2,675) | (2,675) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 869 | 1,056 | 1,242 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 477.9 | 477.9 | 477.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1.82 | 2.21 | 2.60 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/GBP | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.37 | 1.66 | 1.96 | 1.18 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 16.1% | 41.0% | 65.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CRK | TALO | CNX | AR | CRGY | KOS | |
| Enterprise Value | 9,208 | 2,459 | 7,178 | 14,862 | 6,033 | 3,424 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 33 | 108 | 3 | 0 | 133 | 85 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 111 | 0 | 240 | 14 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (3,148) | (1,372) | (2,794) | (3,807) | (3,056) | (2,760) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (156) | 0 | 0 | (190) | (1,238) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 5,937 | 1,306 | 4,387 | 11,104 | 1,885 | 749 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 292.9 | 178.5 | 144.7 | 310.5 | 218.7 | 477.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 20.27 | 7.32 | 30.31 | 35.76 | 8.62 | 1.57 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.33 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 20.27 | 7.32 | 30.31 | 35.76 | 8.62 | 1.18 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | GBP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.33 | |