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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | -0.8x - -0.9x | -0.8x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 1.8x - 2.0x | 1.9x |
Fair Value | RM0.048 - RM0.052 | RM0.050 |
Upside | -3.1% - 4.3% | 0.6% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Auro Holdings Berhad | AURO | KLSE:AURO |
Subur Tiasa Holdings Berhad | SUBUR | KLSE:SUBUR |
UPA Corporation Berhad | UPA | KLSE:UPA |
Kanger International Berhad | KANGER | KLSE:KANGER |
HeveaBoard Berhad | HEVEA | KLSE:HEVEA |
Annum Berhad | ANNUM | KLSE:ANNUM |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
AURO | SUBUR | UPA | KANGER | HEVEA | ANNUM | ||
KLSE:AURO | KLSE:SUBUR | KLSE:UPA | KLSE:KANGER | KLSE:HEVEA | KLSE:ANNUM | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | -22.5% | NM- | -28.8% | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | -9.3% | -33.5% | NM- | -35.5% | -24.9% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 94.4% | 88.3% | -71.0% | -91.1% | -26.6% | 248.8% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -138.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | -49.9% | 7.6% | -0.2% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -145.7% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 3.3% | -3.8% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -14.5% | 21.9% | 4.3% | -42.8% | 2.2% | 19.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -0.8% | 21.9% | 4.3% | -71.1% | 2.2% | 19.4% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 6.15x | 1.67x | 0.82x | 1.36x | 0.13x | 0.07x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -791.8x | 7.6x | 18.9x | -1.9x | 5.9x | 0.4x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -33.8x | 25.2x | 214.5x | -1.9x | -3.1x | 0.5x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -791.8x | 5.9x | 18.9x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -11.1x | 0.6x | 1.1x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | -0.8x | -0.8x | -0.9x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 14 | 14 | 14 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | (11) | (12) | (12) | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 6 | 6 | 6 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 227.5 | 227.5 | 227.5 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||
FX Rate: MYR/MYR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | AURO | SUBUR | UPA | KANGER | HEVEA | ANNUM | |
Enterprise Value | 97 | 720 | 105 | 33 | 42 | 5 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1 | 5 | 66 | 2 | 106 | 6 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (6) | (601) | (8) | 0 | (20) | (0) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (1) | (0) | 0 | (2) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 92 | 132 | 169 | 35 | 127 | 11 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 636.6 | 188.4 | 231.6 | 883.9 | 565.9 | 227.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.15 | 0.70 | 0.73 | 0.04 | 0.23 | 0.05 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.15 | 0.70 | 0.73 | 0.04 | 0.23 | 0.05 | |
Trading Currency | MYR | MYR | MYR | MYR | MYR | MYR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |