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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 4.3x - 4.8x | 4.5x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 5.6x - 6.1x | 5.9x |
| Fair Value | ₨112.23 - ₨127.86 | ₨120.05 |
| Upside | -15.7% - -4.0% | -9.9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Interloop Limited | ILP | KASE:ILP |
| Nishat (Chunian) Limited | NCL | KASE:NCL |
| Artistic Denim Mills Limited | ADMM | KASE:ADMM |
| Towellers Limited | TOWL | KASE:TOWL |
| Suraj Cotton Mills Limited | SURC | KASE:SURC |
| Nishat Mills Limited | NML | KASE:NML |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ILP | NCL | ADMM | TOWL | SURC | NML | ||
| KASE:ILP | KASE:NCL | KASE:ADMM | KASE:TOWL | KASE:SURC | KASE:NML | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 31.9% | -0.7% | 20.9% | 1.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 46.8% | -7.1% | 27.5% | -6.3% | -7.7% | 13.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -29.3% | -15.0% | -46.9% | -95.1% | 8.4% | -37.2% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 19.5% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 25.4% | 9.4% | 17.4% | 21.9% | 3.3% | 11.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 20.3% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 0.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.15x | 0.60x | 0.90x | 0.20x | 0.22x | 0.28x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.3x | 6.0x | 10.3x | 30.5x | 2.7x | 4.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 11.2x | 7.5x | 26.5x | -14.1x | 4.1x | 6.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.7x | 8.3x | 30.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.7x | 1.9x | 1.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.3x | 4.5x | 4.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 13,660 | 13,660 | 13,660 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 59,000 | 62,105 | 65,211 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (12,720) | (12,720) | (12,720) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 46,280 | 49,386 | 52,491 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 351.6 | 351.6 | 351.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 131.63 | 140.46 | 149.29 | ||||
| FX Rate: PKR/PKR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 131.63 | 140.46 | 149.29 | 133.20 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -1.2% | 5.5% | 12.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ILP | NCL | ADMM | TOWL | SURC | NML | |
| Enterprise Value | 200,643 | 52,520 | 16,620 | 2,609 | 6,075 | 59,553 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,479 | 681 | 501 | 659 | 2,701 | 20,189 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 193 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,295 | 76,539 | |
| (-) Debt | (99,611) | (42,055) | (11,886) | (630) | (3,641) | (96,066) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1,450) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (13,383) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 102,255 | 11,146 | 5,236 | 2,637 | 6,431 | 46,833 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,401.7 | 240.1 | 84.0 | 17.0 | 48.8 | 351.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 72.95 | 46.42 | 62.33 | 155.14 | 131.75 | 133.20 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 72.95 | 46.42 | 62.33 | 155.14 | 131.75 | 133.20 | |
| Trading Currency | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |