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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 4.0x - 4.4x | 4.2x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 10.5x - 11.6x | 11.1x |
Fair Value | ₨2.68 - ₨2.97 | ₨2.83 |
Upside | -0.9% - 9.5% | 4.3% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
First Elite Capital Modaraba | - | KASE:FECM |
Saudi Pak Consultancy Company Limited | - | KASE:SPCL |
First IBL Modaraba | - | KASE:FIBLM |
First Fidelity Leasing Modaraba | - | KASE:FFLM |
First Prudential Modaraba | - | KASE:WASL |
First Capital Securities Corporation Limited | - | KASE:FCSC |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
FECM | SPCL | FIBLM | FFLM | WASL | FCSC | |||
KASE:FECM | KASE:SPCL | KASE:FIBLM | KASE:FFLM | KASE:WASL | KASE:FCSC | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 73.8% | 19.5% | NM- | 92.7% | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | 77.0% | 330.1% | 57.8% | NM- | 87.4% | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 547.9% | -79.0% | -0.7% | -200.6% | -82.9% | 172.2% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 3.0% | -911.7% | 15.8% | -55.8% | 29.1% | -11.6% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -20.8% | 55.1% | 28.0% | -14.0% | 61.8% | -19.2% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 61.6% | 95.0% | 22.0% | -260.0% | 29.5% | -8.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 60.0% | 18.3% | 32.9% | -127.9% | 11.1% | 41.2% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | -78.2x | 5.8x | 0.8x | -13.7x | 4.1x | 29.2x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 7.4x | 0.3x | 3.9x | 20.3x | 3.5x | 1.7x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 12.3x | 1.5x | 11.9x | -15.9x | 31.2x | 4.1x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -15.9x | 11.9x | 31.2x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -8.6x | -1.4x | 5.9x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 4.0x | 4.2x | 4.4x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 213 | 213 | 213 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 848 | 893 | 938 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 316.6 | 316.6 | 316.6 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 2.68 | 2.82 | 2.96 | |||||
FX Rate: PKR/PKR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.68 | 2.82 | 2.96 | 2.71 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -1.1% | 4.1% | 9.3% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | FECM | SPCL | FIBLM | FFLM | WASL | FCSC | |
Value of Common Equity | 303 | 41 | 224 | 205 | 585 | 858 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 11.3 | 45.2 | 21.7 | 26.4 | 129.4 | 316.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 26.68 | 0.90 | 10.32 | 7.76 | 4.52 | 2.71 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 26.68 | 0.90 | 10.32 | 7.76 | 4.52 | 2.71 | |
Trading Currency | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |