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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 10.5x - 11.6x | 11.0x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 10.1x - 11.2x | 10.6x |
| Fair Value | R109.05 - R120.53 | R114.79 |
| Upside | -14.0% - -4.9% | -9.5% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| Mr Price Group Limited | - | JSE:MRP |
| Pepkor Holdings Limited | - | JSE:PPH |
| Truworths International Limited | - | JSE:TRU |
| Lewis Group Limited | - | JSE:LEW |
| Woolworths Holdings Limited | - | JSE:WHL |
| The Foschini Group Limited | - | JSE:TFG |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| MRP | PPH | TRU | LEW | WHL | TFG | |||
| JSE:MRP | JSE:PPH | JSE:TRU | JSE:LEW | JSE:WHL | JSE:TFG | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 1.7% | -6.4% | 44.4% | 7.1% | NM- | 2.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 7.3% | -21.8% | 25.8% | 0.3% | -14.6% | NM- | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.8% | 246.2% | 11.2% | 31.8% | -18.8% | 6.7% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 10.8% | 2.4% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.6% | -2.0% | 16.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.7% | 2.7% | 18.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.8% | 2.7% | 17.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.1x | 10.4x | 9.5x | 5.1x | 10.2x | 8.7x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.5x | 1.1x | 1.3x | 0.4x | 0.6x | 0.7x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 17.3x | 41.0x | 7.5x | 6.5x | 16.0x | 13.9x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 6.5x | 16.0x | 41.0x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -341.2x | 9.2x | 57.3x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | 10.5x | 11.0x | 11.6x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | 2,977 | 2,977 | 2,977 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 31,194 | 32,836 | 34,477 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 325.5 | 325.5 | 325.5 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 95.83 | 100.88 | 105.92 | |||||
| FX Rate: ZAR/ZAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 95.83 | 100.88 | 105.92 | 126.81 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -24.4% | -20.5% | -16.5% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MRP | PPH | TRU | LEW | WHL | TFG | |
| Value of Common Equity | 58,051 | 95,484 | 27,930 | 3,425 | 47,555 | 41,277 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 258.0 | 3,679.5 | 374.9 | 49.4 | 904.4 | 325.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 225.00 | 25.95 | 74.49 | 69.35 | 52.58 | 126.81 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 225.00 | 25.95 | 74.49 | 69.35 | 52.58 | 126.81 | |
| Trading Currency | ZAR | ZAR | ZAR | ZAR | ZAR | ZAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |