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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 6.3x - 7.0x | 6.7x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 8.9x - 9.8x | 9.3x |
| Fair Value | R9.86 - R10.84 | R10.35 |
| Upside | 23.3% - 35.5% | 29.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| AH-Vest Limited | AHL | JSE:AHL |
| Rainbow Chicken Limited | RBO | JSE:RBO |
| RFG Holdings Limited | RFG | JSE:RFG |
| Sea Harvest Group Limited | SHG | JSE:SHG |
| Libstar Holdings Limited | LBR | JSE:LBR |
| Quantum Foods Holdings Ltd | QFH | JSE:QFH |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| AHL | RBO | RFG | SHG | LBR | QFH | ||
| JSE:AHL | JSE:RBO | JSE:RFG | JSE:SHG | JSE:LBR | JSE:QFH | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -6.0% | NM- | 14.9% | 3.6% | -4.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -16.9% | NM- | 25.0% | -0.1% | -2.6% | 13.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -27.9% | NM | 6.1% | 25.0% | -8.9% | 621.1% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.7% | 2.8% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 8.3% | 3.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.4% | -0.1% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 0.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.4% | 4.0% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.6% | 5.9% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.15x | 0.15x | 0.66x | 0.75x | 0.32x | 0.24x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.8x | 2.5x | 4.8x | 5.9x | 4.5x | 4.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.0x | 3.5x | 6.3x | 9.0x | 7.7x | 6.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.5x | 4.8x | 5.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.7x | 4.7x | 17.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.3x | 6.7x | 7.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 319 | 319 | 319 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,014 | 2,120 | 2,226 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 115 | 115 | 115 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,130 | 2,236 | 2,342 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 201.1 | 201.1 | 201.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 10.59 | 11.12 | 11.64 | ||||
| FX Rate: ZAR/ZAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 10.59 | 11.12 | 11.64 | 8.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 32.4% | 39.0% | 45.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | AHL | RBO | RFG | SHG | LBR | QFH | |
| Enterprise Value | 33 | 2,238 | 5,252 | 5,415 | 3,738 | 1,494 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 0 | 971 | 192 | 336 | 494 | 246 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 0 | 12 | |
| (-) Debt | (31) | (338) | (644) | (3,614) | (2,320) | (142) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (15) | (10) | 10 | 1 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3 | 2,856 | 4,789 | 2,229 | 1,913 | 1,609 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 102.0 | 892.4 | 259.6 | 336.8 | 595.8 | 201.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.03 | 3.20 | 18.45 | 6.62 | 3.21 | 8.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.03 | 3.20 | 18.45 | 6.62 | 3.21 | 8.00 | |
| Trading Currency | ZAR | ZAR | ZAR | ZAR | ZAR | ZAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |