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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 24.3x - 26.9x | 25.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 40.0x - 44.2x | 42.1x |
| Fair Value | Rp11.74 - Rp25.93 | Rp18.84 |
| Upside | -46.6% - 17.9% | -14.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Sinergi Inti Plastindo Tbk | ESIP | IDX:ESIP |
| PT Yanaprima Hastapersada Tbk | YPAS | IDX:YPAS |
| PT Berlina Tbk | BRNA | IDX:BRNA |
| PT Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk | PICO | IDX:PICO |
| PT Trias Sentosa Tbk | TRST | IDX:TRST |
| PT Sriwahana Adityakarta Tbk | SWAT | IDX:SWAT |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ESIP | YPAS | BRNA | PICO | TRST | SWAT | ||
| IDX:ESIP | IDX:YPAS | IDX:BRNA | IDX:PICO | IDX:TRST | IDX:SWAT | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -12.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | -22.5% | -6.1% | -4.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -20.0% | -5.4% | 62.7% | NM- | -22.7% | -26.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.8% | -59.3% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 29.8% | 371.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 8.4% | 5.9% | 11.5% | -39.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 4.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 10.9% | 2.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.7% | 3.1% | 14.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 9.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.7% | 3.1% | 15.8% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.36x | 1.01x | 1.56x | 0.33x | 0.96x | 2.41x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.7x | 32.7x | 9.9x | 7.2x | 10.9x | 26.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 19.7x | -108.0x | 81.0x | 10.0x | 59.0x | -36.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.2x | 9.9x | 32.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -81.2x | 11.5x | 13.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 24.3x | 25.6x | 26.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 16,783 | 16,783 | 16,783 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 408,414 | 429,910 | 451,405 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (371,583) | (371,583) | (371,583) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 36,832 | 58,327 | 79,823 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,019.2 | 3,019.2 | 3,019.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 12.20 | 19.32 | 26.44 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 12.20 | 19.32 | 26.44 | 22.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -44.5% | -12.2% | 20.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ESIP | YPAS | BRNA | PICO | TRST | SWAT | |
| Enterprise Value | 21,852 | 345,997 | 1,592,431 | 196,266 | 3,331,470 | 438,005 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,087 | 6,289 | 29,343 | 1,723 | 22,726 | 18,890 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136,368 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,630) | (141,198) | (882,983) | (141,152) | (1,900,056) | (390,300) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (53,414) | 0 | (172,468) | (173) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 23,309 | 211,088 | 685,377 | 56,838 | 1,418,040 | 66,422 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,110.0 | 668.0 | 979.1 | 568.4 | 2,808.0 | 3,019.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 21.00 | 316.00 | 700.00 | 100.00 | 505.00 | 22.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 21.00 | 316.00 | 700.00 | 100.00 | 505.00 | 22.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |