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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.6x - 1.7x | 1.7x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.3x - 1.5x | 1.4x |
| Fair Value | Rp841.25 - Rp935.72 | Rp888.49 |
| Upside | 0.1% - 11.4% | 5.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk | AALI | IDX:AALI |
| PT Diamond Food Indonesia Tbk | DMND | IDX:DMND |
| PT Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk | ROTI | IDX:ROTI |
| PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Company Tbk | ULTJ | IDX:ULTJ |
| PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk | TRGU | IDX:TRGU |
| PT Sumber Tani Agung Resources Tbk | STAA | IDX:STAA |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| AALI | DMND | ROTI | ULTJ | TRGU | STAA | |||
| IDX:AALI | IDX:DMND | IDX:ROTI | IDX:ULTJ | IDX:TRGU | IDX:STAA | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 4.6% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 7.4% | NM- | 15.2% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -3.6% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 3.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.2% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 6.9% | -11.8% | 21.8% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.9% | 5.1% | 12.2% | 19.9% | 3.7% | 25.5% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 8.1% | 4.3% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 2.5% | 19.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.2% | 4.5% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 1.9% | 29.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.2% | 4.5% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 1.9% | 29.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.47x | 0.69x | 1.37x | 1.27x | 0.60x | 1.54x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 5.7x | 15.4x | 10.5x | 7.8x | 31.8x | 5.2x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.47x | 0.75x | 1.32x | 1.54x | 0.27x | 1.44x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.47x | 0.69x | 1.37x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.54x | 1.94x | 1.98x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.57x | 1.65x | 1.73x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 6,439,474 | 6,439,474 | 6,439,474 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 10,095,881 | 10,627,243 | 11,158,606 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (613,762) | (613,762) | (613,762) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 9,482,119 | 10,013,481 | 10,544,844 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 10,903.4 | 10,903.4 | 10,903.4 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 869.65 | 918.38 | 967.12 | |||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 869.65 | 918.38 | 967.12 | 840.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 3.5% | 9.3% | 15.1% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | AALI | DMND | ROTI | ULTJ | TRGU | STAA | |
| Enterprise Value | 10,592,803 | 6,806,810 | 5,597,295 | 11,908,170 | 3,122,687 | 9,772,595 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3,236,012 | 538,626 | 430,946 | 2,434,322 | 627 | 1,318,490 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 410,417 | 68,851 | 8,602 | 132,526 | 0 | 16,100 | |
| (-) Debt | (3,189,537) | 0 | (623,098) | (37,848) | (1,716,974) | (1,517,090) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (560,144) | (28,967) | (5,794) | (87,688) | (1) | (431,262) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 10,489,551 | 7,385,320 | 5,407,951 | 14,349,482 | 1,406,338 | 9,158,833 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,924.7 | 9,468.4 | 5,692.6 | 10,398.2 | 7,945.4 | 10,903.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 5,450.00 | 780.00 | 950.00 | 1,380.00 | 177.00 | 840.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 5,450.00 | 780.00 | 950.00 | 1,380.00 | 177.00 | 840.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |