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Sumber Tani Agung Resources Tbk PT

IDX:STAA

印尼 / 必需消費品 / 食物產品

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5 年 DCF EBITDA 退出價

股價

860.00 IDR

公允價值

1,352.39 IDR

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Discount Rate	8.5% - 7.5%	8.0%
Terminal EBITDA Multiple	4.3x - 6.3x	5.3x
Fair Value	Rp1,167 - Rp1,546	Rp1,352
Upside	38.1% - 82.9%	60.0%

3.4%

Revenue 5y CAGR

33.6%

5y Avg EBITDA Margin

10.9%

Unlevered FCF 5y CAGR

5-Year DCF Model: EBITDA Exit

股價

860.00 IDR

公允價值

1,352.39 IDR

看漲

60.0%

Revenue and EBITDA

CapEx

Working Capital

D&A

Tax Rate

Discount Rate

Terminal Value


Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast

(IDR in millions)		Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending	Dec-24	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29

Revenue	6,439,474	6,745,000	7,083,000	7,330,905	7,477,523	7,627,074
% Growth	21.8%	4.7%	5.0%	3.5%	2.0%	2.0%

EBITDA	2,225,627	2,184,000	2,398,000	2,481,930	2,531,569	2,582,200
% of Revenue	34.6%	32.4%	33.9%	33.9%	33.9%	33.9%

支援算式

Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Calculation of Enterprise Value

Equity Waterfall

Historical Financials

Current Trading Multiples


Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(IDR in millions)		Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29

EBITDA		2,184,000	2,398,000	2,481,930	2,531,569	2,582,200
Other Income / (Exp)		0	0	0	0	0
D&A		(377,000)	(406,000)	(518,930)	(632,569)	(726,200)

EBIT		1,807,000	1,992,000	1,963,000	1,899,000	1,856,000
Pro forma Taxes		(379,470)	(418,320)	(412,230)	(398,790)	(389,760)
NOPAT	1,502,119	1,427,530	1,573,680	1,550,770	1,500,210	1,466,240

Capital Expenditures	(850,883)	(574,000)	(610,000)	(615,000)	(637,000)	(667,000)
NWC Investment	(70,012)	(18,532)	(20,501)	(15,037)	(8,893)	(9,071)
(+) D&A	324,210	377,000	406,000	518,930	632,569	726,200

Free Cash Flow	905,434	1,211,998	1,349,179	1,439,663	1,486,886	1,516,369
% Growth		34%	11%	7%	3%	2%

載入錯誤

Sumber Tani Agung Resources Tbk PT

IDX:STAA

印尼 / 必需消費品 / 食物產品

5 年 DCF EBITDA 退出價