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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 10.2x - 11.2x | 10.7x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8.6x - 9.5x | 9.0x |
| Fair Value | Rp1,197 - Rp1,346 | Rp1,271 |
| Upside | 54.4% - 73.6% | 64.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Ha Tien 1 Cement Joint Stock Company | HT1 | HOSE:HT1 |
| South Basic Chemicals Joint Stock Company | CSV | HOSE:CSV |
| PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk | INTP | IDX:INTP |
| PT Semen Baturaja (Persero) Tbk | SMBR | IDX:SMBR |
| PT Cemindo Gemilang Tbk | CMNT | IDX:CMNT |
| PT Solusi Bangun Indonesia Tbk | SMCB | IDX:SMCB |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| HT1 | CSV | INTP | SMBR | CMNT | SMCB | ||
| HOSE:HT1 | HOSE:CSV | IDX:INTP | IDX:SMBR | IDX:CMNT | IDX:SMCB | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -31.8% | -0.6% | 3.4% | -0.7% | 28.8% | 103.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -33.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | -4.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -6.7% | 20.4% | 5.2% | -7.1% | -42.1% | -16.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.2% | 18.3% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 13.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 2.7% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 2.5% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.5% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 10.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.77x | 2.07x | 0.81x | 1.14x | 2.59x | 0.74x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.2x | 11.1x | 4.4x | 5.6x | 18.3x | 4.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 30.1x | 12.8x | 6.5x | 10.2x | 43.4x | 7.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 6.5x | 12.8x | 43.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 7.0x | 11.8x | 13.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 10.2x | 10.7x | 11.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,227,086 | 1,227,086 | 1,227,086 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 12,470,569 | 13,126,915 | 13,783,261 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,992,321) | (1,992,321) | (1,992,321) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 10,478,248 | 11,134,594 | 11,790,940 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 9,019.4 | 9,019.4 | 9,019.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,161.75 | 1,234.52 | 1,307.29 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,161.75 | 1,234.52 | 1,307.29 | 775.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 49.9% | 59.3% | 68.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | HT1 | CSV | INTP | SMBR | CMNT | SMCB | |
| Enterprise Value | 5,236,371 | 3,840,787 | 15,101,539 | 2,387,695 | 23,882,986 | 8,982,342 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 865,530 | 777,611 | 4,496,547 | 29,843 | 434,934 | 150,342 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 36,484 | 0 | 260,522 | 25 | 67,209 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,511,390) | (122,196) | (2,438,744) | (729,056) | (8,632,740) | (2,142,663) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (9,757) | (59,631) | 0 | 24 | (339,435) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 4,617,238 | 4,436,571 | 17,419,864 | 1,688,531 | 15,412,954 | 6,990,021 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 381.6 | 110.5 | 3,350.0 | 9,932.5 | 17,125.5 | 9,019.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 12,100.00 | 40,150.00 | 5,200.00 | 170.00 | 900.00 | 775.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 12,100.00 | 40,150.00 | 5,200.00 | 170.00 | 900.00 | 775.00 | |
| Trading Currency | VND | VND | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |