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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted Earnings | 353.1 B - 1,740.4 B | 918.6 B |
| Discount Rate | 10.0% - 8.0% | 9.0% |
| Fair Value | Rp90.62 - Rp377.76 | Rp195.81 |
| Upside | -50.5% - 106.4% | 7.0% |
| Estimate Adjusted EBIT Margin | |||||||
| Fiscal Year Ending | LTM | ||||||
| Dec-20 | Dec-21 | Dec-22 | Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-24 | ||
| (IDR in millions) | FY-4 | FY-3 | FY-2 | FY-1 | FY | LTM | |
| Revenue | 5,101,113 | 5,930,261 | 7,132,534 | 6,513,197 | 7,057,824 | 7,057,824 | |
| Adjusted EBITDA Build-up | |||||||
| EBT, Incl. Unusual Items | 1,488,100 | 1,725,634 | 1,095,326 | 419,000 | 801,615 | 801,615 | |
| (+) Net Interest Expense | (21,703) | 34,509 | 2,639 | (83,658) | (140,603) | (140,603) | |
| (+) Other Non Operating Exp. | (6,920) | (7,722) | 3,870 | 3,685 | (6,490) | (6,490) | |
| (+) D&A | 231,843 | 238,535 | 252,686 | 269,391 | 274,426 | 274,426 | |
| (+) Non-recurring Items | 17,208 | (39,642) | (87,504) | (56,103) | (33,892) | (33,892) | |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 1,708,528 | 1,951,314 | 1,267,016 | 552,316 | 895,056 | 895,056 | |
| (-) D&A | (231,843) | (238,535) | (252,686) | (269,391) | (274,426) | (274,426) | |
| Adjusted EBIT | 1,476,684 | 1,712,779 | 1,014,331 | 282,925 | 620,629 | 620,629 | |
| % of Revenue | 28.9% | 28.9% | 14.2% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | |
| Low | Median | High | |||||
| Adjusted EBIT Margin | 4.3% | 14.2% | 28.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Model | |||||||
| (IDR in millions) | Low | Mid | High | Market | |||
| Enterprise Value | 3,531,026 | 10,206,809 | 21,755,178 | 9,394,088 | |||
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,966,169 | 2,966,169 | 2,966,169 | 2,966,169 | |||
| (+) Investments & Other | 147,322 | 147,322 | 147,322 | 147,322 | |||
| (-) Debt | (20,133) | (20,133) | (20,133) | (20,133) | |||
| (-) Other Liabilities | (872,917) | (872,917) | (872,917) | (872,917) | |||
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Value of Common Equity | 5,751,467 | 12,427,250 | 23,975,619 | 11,614,530 | |||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 63,467.4 | 63,467.4 | 63,467.4 | 63,467.4 | |||
| Implied Stock Price (IDR) | 90.62 | 195.81 | 377.76 | 183.00 | |||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
| Implied Stock Price (IDR) | 90.62 | 195.81 | 377.76 | 183.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -50.48% | 7.00% | 106.43% | ||||
| Stock Price | 183.00 | ||||||
| Stock Price Close | 183.00 | ||||||
| Restatment Type | Original | ||||||
| Reporting Currency | IDR | ||||||
| Trading Currency | IDR | ||||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.00 | ||||||
| Market Cap | 11,614,529.7 | ||||||
| Shares Outstanding | 63,467.4 | ||||||
| Share Exchange Ratio | 1.0 | ||||||
| Liquid Long-term Investments | 0 | ||||||