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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 18.0x - 19.9x | 18.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 16.7x - 18.4x | 17.6x |
| Fair Value | Rp294.55 - Rp330.34 | Rp312.44 |
| Upside | -1.8% - 10.1% | 4.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Enseval Putera Megatrading Tbk. | EPMT | IDX:EPMT |
| PT Bundamedik Tbk | BMHS | IDX:BMHS |
| PT Famon Awal Bros Sedaya Tbk | PRAY | IDX:PRAY |
| PT Metro Healthcare Indonesia Tbk | CARE | IDX:CARE |
| PT Prodia Widyahusada Tbk | PRDA | IDX:PRDA |
| PT Sarana Meditama Metropolitan Tbk | SAME | IDX:SAME |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| EPMT | BMHS | PRAY | CARE | PRDA | SAME | ||
| IDX:EPMT | IDX:BMHS | IDX:PRAY | IDX:CARE | IDX:PRDA | IDX:SAME | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 5.2% | 3.9% | 14.0% | NM- | 5.9% | 29.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -1.5% | -30.2% | -10.4% | NM- | -22.2% | -3.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.6% | -14.0% | 26.1% | -167.5% | 1.4% | 9.5% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.1% | 18.9% | 21.4% | -2.2% | 21.8% | 16.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.7% | 12.3% | 20.0% | -6.0% | 17.4% | 17.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.6% | 11.8% | 22.0% | -1.4% | 17.3% | 18.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.6% | 10.8% | 22.0% | -4.5% | 15.6% | 18.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.20x | 1.85x | 4.08x | 23.06x | 0.74x | 3.48x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.4x | 15.7x | 18.5x | -514.6x | 4.7x | 18.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 6.3x | 32.7x | 33.1x | -179.2x | 6.6x | 56.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -514.6x | 5.4x | 18.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.9x | 22.2x | 61.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 18.0x | 18.9x | 19.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 316,765 | 316,765 | 316,765 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 5,696,153 | 5,995,950 | 6,295,748 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (780,073) | (780,073) | (780,073) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,916,080 | 5,215,878 | 5,515,675 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 17,155.9 | 17,155.9 | 17,155.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 286.55 | 304.03 | 321.50 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 286.55 | 304.03 | 321.50 | 300.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -4.5% | 1.3% | 7.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | EPMT | BMHS | PRAY | CARE | PRDA | SAME | |
| Enterprise Value | 6,257,217 | 2,891,841 | 8,650,319 | 7,535,718 | 1,504,656 | 5,926,837 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 354,284 | 770,044 | 946,758 | 449,982 | 788,725 | 73,288 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 85,393 | 83,196 | 404,270 | 0 | 74,658 | 439,884 | |
| (-) Debt | (205,145) | (1,192,270) | (1,429,022) | (935,220) | (24,791) | (933,670) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (45,187) | (436,370) | (126,875) | (1,479) | (2,241) | (359,575) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 6,446,563 | 2,116,440 | 8,445,450 | 7,049,000 | 2,341,007 | 5,146,765 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,708.6 | 8,603.4 | 13,959.4 | 33,250.0 | 937.5 | 17,155.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2,380.00 | 246.00 | 605.00 | 212.00 | 2,497.07 | 300.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2,380.00 | 246.00 | 605.00 | 212.00 | 2,497.07 | 300.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |