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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 9.8x - 10.8x | 10.3x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 7.5x - 8.2x | 7.8x |
| Fair Value | Rp117.19 - Rp131.73 | Rp124.46 |
| Upside | 0.2% - 12.6% | 6.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Sinar Eka Selaras Tbk | ERAL | IDX:ERAL |
| PT Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Tbk | MPMX | IDX:MPMX |
| PT Industri dan Perdagangan Bintraco Dharma Tbk | CARS | IDX:CARS |
| PT Electronic City Indonesia Tbk | ECII | IDX:ECII |
| PT Sona Topas Tourism Industry Tbk | SONA | IDX:SONA |
| PT Putra Mandiri Jembar Tbk | PMJS | IDX:PMJS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ERAL | MPMX | CARS | ECII | SONA | PMJS | ||
| IDX:ERAL | IDX:MPMX | IDX:CARS | IDX:ECII | IDX:SONA | IDX:PMJS | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 0.8% | NM- | -23.3% | -17.0% | -5.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 1.0% | 26.9% | NM- | NM- | NM- | -12.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -2.7% | 1.7% | 14.3% | -98.7% | 88.6% | -30.0% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.9% | 3.2% | -2.8% | 0.2% | -85.7% | 2.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 0.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 2.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.28x | 0.00x | 0.42x | -0.04x | 2.28x | 0.21x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.7x | 0.0x | 5.8x | -2.1x | 30.7x | 7.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 6.9x | 0.1x | 6.5x | -668.7x | 37.2x | 10.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -668.7x | 6.5x | 37.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 4.5x | 8.8x | 10.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 9.8x | 10.3x | 10.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 182,315 | 182,315 | 182,315 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,784,866 | 1,878,806 | 1,972,747 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (287,789) | (287,789) | (287,789) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,497,077 | 1,591,017 | 1,684,958 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 13,755.6 | 13,755.6 | 13,755.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 108.83 | 115.66 | 122.49 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 108.83 | 115.66 | 122.49 | 117.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -7.0% | -1.1% | 4.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ERAL | MPMX | CARS | ECII | SONA | PMJS | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,506,671 | 28,319 | 2,348,066 | (86,594) | 1,927,680 | 1,897,194 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 417,498 | 1,995,544 | 436,661 | 365,183 | 614,039 | 286,421 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 99,977 | 2,222,427 | 259,747 | 0 | 906 | 15,085 | |
| (-) Debt | (221,967) | (19,710) | (1,165,091) | (59,853) | (124,276) | (77,959) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (17,680) | (50) | (304,383) | (58) | (588) | (511,336) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,784,500 | 4,226,530 | 1,575,000 | 218,679 | 2,417,760 | 1,609,405 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5,187.5 | 4,379.8 | 15,000.0 | 1,214.9 | 662.4 | 13,755.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 344.00 | 965.00 | 105.00 | 180.00 | 3,650.00 | 117.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 344.00 | 965.00 | 105.00 | 180.00 | 3,650.00 | 117.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |