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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 576.7x - 637.4x | 607.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 378.5x - 418.4x | 398.4x |
| Fair Value | Rp950.04 - Rp1,050 | Rp1,000 |
| Upside | -52.5% - -47.5% | -50.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT PAM Mineral Tbk | NICL | IDX:NICL |
| PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk | ISSP | IDX:ISSP |
| PT Waskita Beton Precast Tbk | WSBP | IDX:WSBP |
| PT Berlina Tbk | BRNA | IDX:BRNA |
| PT Trias Sentosa Tbk | TRST | IDX:TRST |
| PT Abadi Nusantara Hijau Investama Tbk | PACK | IDX:PACK |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| NICL | ISSP | WSBP | BRNA | TRST | PACK | ||
| IDX:NICL | IDX:ISSP | IDX:WSBP | IDX:BRNA | IDX:TRST | IDX:PACK | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 16.4% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 89.5% | 4.1% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 816.9% | 8.1% | 50.6% | 171.0% | 341.3% | -48.3% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 16.5% | 10.3% | -69.0% | -6.2% | 3.6% | 6.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 4.0% | 11.4% | -38.1% | -6.8% | -1.9% | 9.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 28.7% | 13.0% | -48.7% | -2.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 28.7% | 13.0% | -22.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.04x | 0.63x | 1.84x | 1.56x | 0.97x | 58.38x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.9x | 3.9x | -36.7x | 9.9x | 11.0x | 715.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 7.1x | 4.8x | -8.1x | 81.0x | 59.2x | 1214.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -8.1x | 7.1x | 81.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 11.8x | 613.2x | 1214.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 576.7x | 607.1x | 637.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 2,629 | 2,629 | 2,629 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,516,282 | 1,596,086 | 1,675,891 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,313 | 1,313 | 1,313 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,517,595 | 1,597,399 | 1,677,203 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,597.4 | 1,597.4 | 1,597.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 950.04 | 1,000.00 | 1,049.96 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 950.04 | 1,000.00 | 1,049.96 | 2,000.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -52.5% | -50.0% | -47.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | NICL | ISSP | WSBP | BRNA | TRST | PACK | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,946,722 | 3,827,047 | 3,282,827 | 1,592,431 | 3,334,315 | 3,193,485 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 227,952 | 503,649 | 63,888 | 29,343 | 16,970 | 4,249 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 39,579 | 0 | 0 | 143,457 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (3,355) | (2,519,142) | (2,601,359) | (882,983) | (1,897,748) | (2,836) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1,897) | (14) | 0 | (53,414) | (178,954) | (101) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3,169,422 | 1,851,119 | 745,357 | 685,377 | 1,418,040 | 3,194,798 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 10,635.6 | 7,065.3 | 53,239.8 | 979.1 | 2,808.0 | 1,597.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 298.00 | 262.00 | 14.00 | 700.00 | 505.00 | 2,000.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 298.00 | 262.00 | 14.00 | 700.00 | 505.00 | 2,000.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |