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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 7.0x - 7.8x | 7.4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 4.6x - 5.1x | 4.9x |
| Fair Value | Rp1,588 - Rp1,798 | Rp1,693 |
| Upside | 35.1% - 53.0% | 44.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk | MDIY | IDX:MDIY |
| Saigon General Service Corporation | SVC | HOSE:SVC |
| PT Bukalapak.com Tbk. | BUKA | IDX:BUKA |
| PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk | ERAA | IDX:ERAA |
| PT Global Digital Niaga Tbk | BELI | IDX:BELI |
| PT. Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk | MAPI | IDX:MAPI |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| MDIY | SVC | BUKA | ERAA | BELI | MAPI | ||
| IDX:MDIY | HOSE:SVC | IDX:BUKA | IDX:ERAA | IDX:BELI | IDX:MAPI | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 6.9% | NM- | 23.6% | NM- | 9.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 248.4% | 10.3% | NM- | 11.7% | NM- | 29.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 52.4% | 54.5% | -11.0% | 6.8% | 25.6% | 3.0% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 21.6% | 1.9% | -47.5% | 3.8% | -28.0% | 11.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 18.6% | 1.5% | -17.7% | 3.6% | -22.9% | 13.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 28.7% | 1.5% | -14.7% | 3.9% | -12.8% | 11.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 27.7% | 1.6% | -11.7% | 3.8% | -11.4% | 11.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 4.01x | 0.24x | -0.82x | 0.26x | 2.63x | 0.67x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.5x | 14.6x | 7.0x | 7.0x | -23.1x | 5.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 18.4x | 24.9x | 6.9x | 8.7x | -20.7x | 7.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -23.1x | 7.0x | 14.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.9x | 8.0x | 17.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.0x | 7.4x | 7.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 4,537,187 | 4,537,187 | 4,537,187 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 31,917,076 | 33,596,922 | 35,276,768 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6,749,068) | (6,749,068) | (6,749,068) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 25,168,008 | 26,847,854 | 28,527,700 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 16,600.0 | 16,600.0 | 16,600.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,516.15 | 1,617.34 | 1,718.54 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,516.15 | 1,617.34 | 1,718.54 | 1,175.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 29.0% | 37.6% | 46.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MDIY | SVC | BUKA | ERAA | BELI | MAPI | |
| Enterprise Value | 29,381,846 | 6,478,088 | (5,074,062) | 17,747,884 | 48,573,544 | 26,254,068 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 356,852 | 724,208 | 20,461,335 | 1,825,739 | 2,835,009 | 4,371,242 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 358,188 | 2,229,875 | 635,117 | 1,328,350 | 405,699 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,127,903) | (4,760,751) | (43,151) | (12,569,003) | (3,270,799) | (8,587,211) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (27,316) | (841,104) | (12,715) | (979,107) | (204,170) | (2,938,798) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 27,583,479 | 1,958,630 | 17,561,282 | 6,660,631 | 49,261,934 | 19,505,000 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 25,190.4 | 93.3 | 97,562.7 | 15,783.5 | 133,864.0 | 16,600.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1,095.00 | 21,000.00 | 180.00 | 422.00 | 368.00 | 1,175.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,095.00 | 21,000.00 | 180.00 | 422.00 | 368.00 | 1,175.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | VND | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |