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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted Earnings | 6,930 B - 12,647 B | 8,517 B |
| Discount Rate | 8.8% - 6.8% | 7.8% |
| Fair Value | Rp727.47 - Rp1,657 | Rp991.37 |
| Upside | 20.2% - 173.9% | 63.9% |
| Estimate Adjusted EBIT Margin | |||||||
| Fiscal Year Ending | LTM | ||||||
| Dec-20 | Dec-21 | Dec-22 | Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Mar-25 | ||
| (IDR in millions) | FY-4 | FY-3 | FY-2 | FY-1 | FY | LTM | |
| Revenue | 40,252,223 | 41,512,611 | 45,616,356 | 53,106,365 | 53,604,073 | 52,963,836 | |
| Adjusted EBITDA Build-up | |||||||
| EBT, Incl. Unusual Items | 11,161,466 | 9,152,166 | 8,273,059 | 10,311,213 | 8,685,617 | 8,376,846 | |
| (+) Net Interest Expense | (736,086) | (453,345) | (441,852) | (715,647) | (693,235) | (596,363) | |
| (+) Other Non Operating Exp. | (23,224) | (333,098) | (78,024) | (631,491) | (295,166) | (251,177) | |
| (+) D&A | 1,106,914 | 991,519 | 913,802 | 902,943 | 972,027 | 937,804 | |
| (+) Non-recurring Items | |||||||
| Adjusted EBITDA | 11,509,070 | 9,357,242 | 8,666,985 | 9,867,018 | 8,669,243 | 8,467,110 | |
| (-) D&A | (1,106,914) | (991,519) | (913,802) | (902,943) | (972,027) | (937,804) | |
| Adjusted EBIT | 10,402,156 | 8,365,723 | 7,753,183 | 8,964,075 | 7,697,216 | 7,529,306 | |
| % of Revenue | 25.8% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 14.2% | |
| Low | Median | High | |||||
| Adjusted EBIT Margin | 14.4% | 17.0% | 25.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Model | |||||||
| (IDR in millions) | Low | Mid | High | Market | |||
| Enterprise Value | 79,200,469 | 109,896,614 | 187,363,484 | 64,955,074 | |||
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 5,666,992 | 5,666,992 | 5,666,992 | 5,666,992 | |||
| (+) Investments & Other | 93,060 | 93,060 | 93,060 | 93,060 | |||
| (-) Debt | (342,689) | (342,689) | (342,689) | (342,689) | |||
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Value of Common Equity | 84,617,832 | 115,313,977 | 192,780,847 | 70,372,437 | |||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 116,318.1 | 116,318.1 | 116,318.1 | 116,318.1 | |||
| Implied Stock Price (IDR) | 727.47 | 991.37 | 1,657.36 | 605.00 | |||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
| Implied Stock Price (IDR) | 727.47 | 991.37 | 1,657.36 | 605.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 20.24% | 63.86% | 173.94% | ||||
| Stock Price | 605.00 | ||||||
| Stock Price Close | 605.00 | ||||||
| Restatment Type | Original | ||||||
| Reporting Currency | IDR | ||||||
| Trading Currency | IDR | ||||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.00 | ||||||
| Market Cap | 70,372,436.5 | ||||||
| Shares Outstanding | 116,318.1 | ||||||
| Share Exchange Ratio | 1.0 | ||||||
| Liquid Long-term Investments | 0 | ||||||