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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 10.6x - 11.7x | 11.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8.1x - 9.0x | 8.5x |
| Fair Value | Rp720.18 - Rp794.19 | Rp757.19 |
| Upside | 26.3% - 39.3% | 32.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk | JPFA | IDX:JPFA |
| Thanh Thanh Cong - Bien Hoa Joint Stock Company | SBT | HOSE:SBT |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk | CPIN | IDX:CPIN |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk | MYOR | IDX:MYOR |
| Vinh Hoan Corporation | VHC | HOSE:VHC |
| PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk | HMSP | IDX:HMSP |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| JPFA | SBT | CPIN | MYOR | VHC | HMSP | ||
| IDX:JPFA | HOSE:SBT | IDX:CPIN | IDX:MYOR | HOSE:VHC | IDX:HMSP | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 10.4% | 132.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | -14.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 18.2% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 30.2% | 1.1% | -2.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 132.0% | 10.7% | 61.6% | -8.9% | 28.1% | -14.1% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 21.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 16.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 14.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 14.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.61x | 0.69x | 1.09x | 1.47x | 0.84x | 1.20x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.5x | 9.1x | 10.0x | 10.9x | 6.2x | 7.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 6.6x | 11.7x | 12.4x | 13.5x | 8.4x | 8.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 6.6x | 11.7x | 13.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 8.4x | 11.3x | 12.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 10.6x | 11.1x | 11.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 7,697,216 | 7,697,216 | 7,697,216 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 81,214,506 | 85,488,953 | 89,763,401 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,986,900 | 1,986,900 | 1,986,900 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 83,201,406 | 87,475,853 | 91,750,301 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 116,318.1 | 116,318.1 | 116,318.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 715.29 | 752.04 | 788.79 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 715.29 | 752.04 | 788.79 | 570.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 25.5% | 31.9% | 38.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | JPFA | SBT | CPIN | MYOR | VHC | HMSP | |
| Enterprise Value | 33,572,778 | 20,834,932 | 73,155,523 | 53,017,997 | 10,389,262 | 64,314,404 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,356,331 | 8,775,958 | 4,846,038 | 4,601,449 | 2,910,419 | 2,369,521 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 281,816 | 4,763,508 | 74,185 | 0 | 69,482 | 90,781 | |
| (-) Debt | (10,743,624) | (20,343,669) | (8,533,263) | (8,148,443) | (2,277,107) | (473,402) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1,095,684) | (89,532) | (14,963) | (281,864) | (318,305) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | (216,113) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 23,371,617 | 13,725,084 | 69,527,520 | 49,189,139 | 10,773,752 | 66,301,304 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 11,627.7 | 814.5 | 16,398.0 | 22,358.7 | 224.5 | 116,318.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2,010.00 | 16,850.00 | 4,240.00 | 2,200.00 | 48,000.00 | 570.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2,010.00 | 16,850.00 | 4,240.00 | 2,200.00 | 48,000.00 | 570.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | VND | IDR | IDR | VND | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |