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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 5.4x - 5.9x | 5.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 7.0x - 7.7x | 7.4x |
| Fair Value | Rp81.86 - Rp93.99 | Rp87.92 |
| Upside | -42.3% - -33.8% | -38.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk | ISSP | IDX:ISSP |
| POSCO Holdings Inc. | A005490 | KOSE:A005490 |
| PT Lautan Luas Tbk | LTLS | IDX:LTLS |
| Binh Duong Mineral and Construction Joint Stock Company | KSB | HOSE:KSB |
| PT Ifishdeco Tbk | IFSH | IDX:IFSH |
| PT Darma Henwa Tbk | DEWA | IDX:DEWA |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ISSP | A005490 | LTLS | KSB | IFSH | DEWA | ||
| IDX:ISSP | KOSE:A005490 | IDX:LTLS | HOSE:KSB | IDX:IFSH | IDX:DEWA | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 15.2% | -3.4% | -2.9% | -22.9% | 3.1% | 6.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 6.0% | -21.9% | -9.7% | -31.7% | 22.8% | -7.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.7% | -11.9% | 1.6% | -50.1% | -40.3% | -1.5% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 56.2% | 18.0% | 12.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 14.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 70.8% | 22.9% | 12.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 15.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 35.6% | 20.1% | 12.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 16.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 37.4% | 20.1% | 14.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.63x | 0.53x | 0.20x | 4.57x | 1.58x | 1.11x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.9x | 6.2x | 3.1x | 12.0x | 7.8x | 7.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 4.9x | 17.8x | 4.3x | 14.6x | 10.0x | 26.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.1x | 6.2x | 12.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.0x | 1.8x | 2.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.4x | 5.6x | 5.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 874,976 | 874,976 | 874,976 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,681,142 | 4,927,518 | 5,173,894 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,355,391) | (1,355,391) | (1,355,391) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,325,751 | 3,572,127 | 3,818,503 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 40,687.4 | 40,687.4 | 40,687.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 81.74 | 87.79 | 93.85 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 81.74 | 87.79 | 93.85 | 142.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -42.4% | -38.2% | -33.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ISSP | A005490 | LTLS | KSB | IFSH | DEWA | |
| Enterprise Value | 3,773,379 | 38,364,488 | 1,559,559 | 2,175,611 | 1,524,134 | 7,133,007 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 620,357 | 15,437,000 | 284,988 | 29,803 | 150,488 | 463,909 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 39,549 | 0 | 965,975 | 593,929 | 22,497 | 1,113,337 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,483,245) | (27,191,000) | (1,182,784) | (1,011,685) | (88,452) | (2,934,996) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (6) | (6,097,000) | (258,959) | (2,337) | (31,733) | 2,359 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,950,034 | 20,513,488 | 1,368,779 | 1,785,322 | 1,576,933 | 5,777,616 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 7,065.3 | 80.3 | 1,471.8 | 114.4 | 1,923.1 | 40,687.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 276.00 | 255,500.00 | 930.00 | 15,600.00 | 820.00 | 142.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 276.00 | 255,500.00 | 930.00 | 15,600.00 | 820.00 | 142.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | KRW | IDR | VND | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |