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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 33.8x - 37.3x | 35.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 19.2x - 21.2x | 20.2x |
| Fair Value | Rp653.80 - Rp774.69 | Rp714.24 |
| Upside | -27.8% - -14.4% | -21.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk | FASW | IDX:FASW |
| Vicostone Joint Stock Company | VCS | HNX:VCS |
| PT Solusi Bangun Indonesia Tbk | SMCB | IDX:SMCB |
| Ha Tien 1 Cement Joint Stock Company | HT1 | HOSE:HT1 |
| PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk | INTP | IDX:INTP |
| PT Cemindo Gemilang Tbk | CMNT | IDX:CMNT |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| FASW | VCS | SMCB | HT1 | INTP | CMNT | ||
| IDX:FASW | HNX:VCS | IDX:SMCB | HOSE:HT1 | IDX:INTP | IDX:CMNT | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | -11.5% | 103.2% | -31.8% | 3.4% | 28.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | -24.5% | -4.3% | -33.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -101.3% | -8.5% | -6.5% | -6.7% | 5.2% | -42.1% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.1% | 26.8% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 11.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -5.5% | 23.1% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 12.4% | 11.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -11.1% | 21.3% | 11.9% | 2.5% | 12.6% | 10.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -11.1% | 21.3% | 10.6% | 2.5% | 12.6% | 6.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.71x | 1.86x | 0.73x | 0.77x | 0.81x | 2.59x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -41.2x | 7.6x | 4.6x | 7.2x | 4.4x | 18.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -24.4x | 8.7x | 6.9x | 30.2x | 6.4x | 43.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -24.4x | 6.9x | 30.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 21.9x | 25.8x | 29.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 33.8x | 35.6x | 37.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 551,323 | 551,323 | 551,323 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 18,625,905 | 19,606,215 | 20,586,526 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (8,470,032) | (8,470,032) | (8,470,032) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 10,155,873 | 11,136,183 | 12,116,494 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 17,125.5 | 17,125.5 | 17,125.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 593.03 | 650.27 | 707.51 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 593.03 | 650.27 | 707.51 | 905.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -34.5% | -28.1% | -21.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | FASW | VCS | SMCB | HT1 | INTP | CMNT | |
| Enterprise Value | 20,899,014 | 8,038,461 | 8,902,932 | 5,255,450 | 14,934,041 | 23,968,613 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 71,962 | 2,254,697 | 271,915 | 865,530 | 4,496,547 | 434,934 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 9,612 | 36,484 | 260,522 | 67,209 | |
| (-) Debt | (7,466,482) | (965,158) | (2,194,438) | (1,511,390) | (2,438,744) | (8,632,740) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (9,757) | 0 | (339,435) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 13,504,494 | 9,328,000 | 6,990,021 | 4,636,317 | 17,252,366 | 15,498,581 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,477.9 | 160.0 | 9,019.4 | 381.6 | 3,350.0 | 17,125.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 5,450.00 | 58,300.00 | 775.00 | 12,150.00 | 5,150.00 | 905.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 5,450.00 | 58,300.00 | 775.00 | 12,150.00 | 5,150.00 | 905.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | VND | IDR | VND | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |