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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 8.6x - 9.5x | 9.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 10.9x - 12.1x | 11.5x |
| Fair Value | Rp1,327 - Rp1,587 | Rp1,457 |
| Upside | -5.5% - 13.0% | 3.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Hai An Transport And Stevedoring Joint Stock Company | HAH | HOSE:HAH |
| SCG Construction Group Joint Stock Company | SCG | HNX:SCG |
| PT Cardig Aero Services Tbk | CASS | IDX:CASS |
| PT Mulia Industrindo Tbk | MLIA | IDX:MLIA |
| Dong Nai Port Joint Stock Company | PDN | HOSE:PDN |
| PT Citra Marga Nusaphala Persada Tbk | CMNP | IDX:CMNP |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| HAH | SCG | CASS | MLIA | PDN | CMNP | ||
| HOSE:HAH | HNX:SCG | IDX:CASS | IDX:MLIA | HOSE:PDN | IDX:CMNP | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 47.3% | 98.3% | 14.3% | 4.1% | 20.3% | 9.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 18.8% | NM- | 69.0% | -23.1% | 27.2% | 20.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 117.5% | 1696.3% | 59.3% | -55.1% | 10.9% | -3.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 24.9% | 4.0% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 26.7% | 29.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 18.6% | -1.8% | 23.8% | 16.6% | 30.4% | 22.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 26.5% | 6.8% | 31.0% | 9.9% | 31.0% | 41.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 26.5% | 7.4% | 31.5% | 7.6% | 31.5% | 40.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.66x | 3.39x | 1.13x | 0.44x | 2.82x | 3.65x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.0x | 45.1x | 3.3x | 2.8x | 8.0x | 7.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 10.0x | 45.6x | 3.6x | 5.8x | 9.0x | 9.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 3.6x | 9.0x | 45.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 8.5x | 11.1x | 13.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 8.6x | 9.1x | 9.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,719,455 | 1,719,455 | 1,719,455 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 14,794,990 | 15,573,673 | 16,352,357 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6,891,352) | (6,891,352) | (6,891,352) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 7,903,638 | 8,682,322 | 9,461,005 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6,039.6 | 6,039.6 | 6,039.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,308.64 | 1,437.57 | 1,566.50 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,308.64 | 1,437.57 | 1,566.50 | 1,405.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -6.9% | 2.3% | 11.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | HAH | SCG | CASS | MLIA | PDN | CMNP | |
| Enterprise Value | 10,535,828 | 9,455,677 | 3,214,643 | 1,908,840 | 3,904,996 | 15,376,970 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 992,390 | 147,862 | 1,584,882 | 657,185 | 771,711 | 500,343 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 173,753 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 70,965 | 587,726 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,330,258) | (3,963,217) | (114,112) | (714,225) | (98,661) | (6,538,298) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (694,766) | (13,323) | (615,860) | 0 | 0 | (1,441,123) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 8,676,947 | 5,627,000 | 4,069,553 | 1,852,200 | 4,649,010 | 8,485,618 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 129.9 | 85.0 | 2,087.0 | 6,615.0 | 37.0 | 6,039.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 66,800.00 | 66,200.00 | 1,950.00 | 280.00 | 125,500.00 | 1,405.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 66,800.00 | 66,200.00 | 1,950.00 | 280.00 | 125,500.00 | 1,405.00 | |
| Trading Currency | VND | VND | IDR | IDR | VND | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
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