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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted Earnings | 163.5 B - 570.5 B | 299.7 B |
| Discount Rate | 9.0% - 7.0% | 8.0% |
| Fair Value | Rp1,930 - Rp3,529 | Rp2,417 |
| Upside | -52.3% - -12.9% | -40.3% |
| Estimate Adjusted EBIT Margin | |||||||
| Fiscal Year Ending | LTM | ||||||
| Dec-20 | Dec-21 | Dec-22 | Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-24 | ||
| (IDR in millions) | FY-4 | FY-3 | FY-2 | FY-1 | FY | LTM | |
| Revenue | 4,344,699 | 4,578,414 | 5,694,017 | 3,292,716 | 2,386,969 | 2,386,969 | |
| Adjusted EBITDA Build-up | |||||||
| EBT, Incl. Unusual Items | 841,882 | 669,312 | 1,040,719 | 775,768 | 2,606,411 | 2,606,411 | |
| (+) Net Interest Expense | 4,888 | (1,171) | (6,615) | 6,221 | (30,194) | (30,194) | |
| (+) Other Non Operating Exp. | (144,651) | (295,141) | (760,542) | (536,927) | (2,140,548) | (2,140,548) | |
| (+) D&A | 113,894 | 113,552 | 109,604 | 98,955 | 94,622 | 94,622 | |
| (+) Non-recurring Items | (182) | (28,703) | (2,281) | 7,482 | (327) | (327) | |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 815,832 | 457,850 | 380,885 | 351,499 | 529,964 | 529,964 | |
| (-) D&A | (113,894) | (113,552) | (109,604) | (98,955) | (94,622) | (94,622) | |
| Adjusted EBIT | 701,937 | 344,297 | 271,280 | 252,544 | 435,342 | 435,342 | |
| % of Revenue | 16.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 18.2% | 18.2% | |
| Low | Median | High | |||||
| Adjusted EBIT Margin | 4.8% | 7.7% | 18.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Model | |||||||
| (IDR in millions) | Low | Mid | High | Market | |||
| Enterprise Value | 1,816,631 | 3,745,781 | 8,149,965 | 10,211,594 | |||
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,572,507 | 1,572,507 | 1,572,507 | 1,572,507 | |||
| (+) Investments & Other | 4,254,491 | 4,254,491 | 4,254,491 | 4,254,491 | |||
| (-) Debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| (-) Other Liabilities | 871 | 871 | 871 | 871 | |||
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Value of Common Equity | 7,644,500 | 9,573,651 | 13,977,834 | 16,039,463 | |||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,960.4 | 3,960.4 | 3,960.4 | 3,960.4 | |||
| Implied Stock Price (IDR) | 1,930.25 | 2,417.37 | 3,529.43 | 4,050.00 | |||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
| Implied Stock Price (IDR) | 1,930.25 | 2,417.37 | 3,529.43 | 4,050.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -52.34% | -40.31% | -12.85% | ||||
| Stock Price | 4,050.00 | ||||||
| Stock Price Close | 4,050.00 | ||||||
| Restatment Type | Original | ||||||
| Reporting Currency | IDR | ||||||
| Trading Currency | IDR | ||||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.00 | ||||||
| Market Cap | 16,039,463.1 | ||||||
| Shares Outstanding | 3,960.4 | ||||||
| Share Exchange Ratio | 1.0 | ||||||
| Liquid Long-term Investments | 0 | ||||||