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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.7x - 0.8x | 0.7x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.7x - 0.8x | 0.7x |
Fair Value | Rp179.77 - Rp198.69 | Rp189.23 |
Upside | 5.7% - 16.9% | 11.3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
PT Sinergi Multi Lestarindo Tbk | - | IDX:SMLE |
PT Lupromax Pelumas Indonesia Tbk | - | IDX:LMAX |
PT Mitra Pack Tbk | - | IDX:PTMP |
PT Berkah Prima Perkasa Tbk | - | IDX:BLUE |
PT Kusuma Kemindo Sentosa Tbk | - | IDX:KKES |
PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk | - | IDX:APII |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
SMLE | LMAX | PTMP | BLUE | KKES | APII | |||
IDX:SMLE | IDX:LMAX | IDX:PTMP | IDX:BLUE | IDX:KKES | IDX:APII | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 12.7% | 9.9% | -3.9% | 2.9% | ||
3Y CAGR | 26.0% | NM- | 17.2% | 13.7% | -0.7% | 3.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 18.6% | NM | 25.7% | 12.0% | -1.1% | -6.3% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 2.0% | 8.2% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 11.7% | 2.3% | 9.7% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 1.7% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | -0.5% | 1.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 2.5% | 3.1% | 7.3% | 10.2% | -0.5% | 1.5% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.0x | -0.6x | 9.4x | 5.8x | 26.6x | 9.2x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.2x | 0.3x | 0.9x | 0.9x | 0.2x | 0.7x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 47.5x | 10.2x | 12.5x | 8.5x | -32.0x | 43.0x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 0.9x | 1.2x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.6x | 0.7x | 0.9x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.7x | 0.7x | 0.8x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 280,127 | 280,127 | 280,127 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 195,157 | 205,429 | 215,700 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,075.8 | 1,075.8 | 1,075.8 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 181.41 | 190.96 | 200.51 | |||||
FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 181.41 | 190.96 | 200.51 | 170.00 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 6.7% | 12.3% | 17.9% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | SMLE | LMAX | PTMP | BLUE | KKES | APII | |
Value of Common Equity | 253,769 | 19,500 | 174,306 | 138,776 | 37,500 | 182,879 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2,328.2 | 650.0 | 3,169.2 | 418.0 | 1,500.0 | 1,075.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 109.00 | 30.00 | 55.00 | 332.00 | 25.00 | 170.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 109.00 | 30.00 | 55.00 | 332.00 | 25.00 | 170.00 | |
Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |