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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 7.1x - 7.8x | 7.4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 7.0x - 7.7x | 7.3x |
| Fair Value | Rp144.21 - Rp173.84 | Rp159.03 |
| Upside | -17.6% - -0.7% | -9.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Mitra Angkasa Sejahtera Tbk | BAUT | IDX:BAUT |
| PT Optima Prima Metal Sinergi Tbk | OPMS | IDX:OPMS |
| PT Kian Santang Muliatama Tbk | RGAS | IDX:RGAS |
| PT Xolare RCR Energy TBK | SOLA | IDX:SOLA |
| PT Kusuma Kemindo Sentosa Tbk | KKES | IDX:KKES |
| PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk | APII | IDX:APII |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| BAUT | OPMS | RGAS | SOLA | KKES | APII | ||
| IDX:BAUT | IDX:OPMS | IDX:RGAS | IDX:SOLA | IDX:KKES | IDX:APII | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 85.0% | NM- | -30.7% | -7.3% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 50.9% | -23.3% | -54.9% | -7.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -1216.7% | -14.6% | NM | 516.7% | -168.2% | -28.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -0.1% | -15.0% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 3.3% | 18.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 4.8% | -51.6% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 2.1% | 20.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -6.6% | -10.6% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 0.7% | 13.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -14.7% | -25.1% | 6.8% | 17.1% | -1.2% | 14.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.45x | 2.53x | 0.75x | 3.11x | 0.31x | 1.12x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -9.9x | -10.1x | 11.0x | 18.1x | -24.5x | 8.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -8.9x | -6.0x | 14.0x | 22.5x | -18.2x | 11.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -24.5x | -9.9x | 18.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.2x | 6.4x | 6.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.1x | 7.4x | 7.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 41,470 | 41,470 | 41,470 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 292,439 | 307,831 | 323,222 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (147,670) | (147,670) | (147,670) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 144,769 | 160,161 | 175,552 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,075.8 | 1,075.8 | 1,075.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 134.57 | 148.88 | 163.19 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 134.57 | 148.88 | 163.19 | 175.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -23.1% | -14.9% | -6.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | BAUT | OPMS | RGAS | SOLA | KKES | APII | |
| Enterprise Value | 181,888 | 44,454 | 139,935 | 595,258 | 61,223 | 335,928 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 261 | 13,263 | 30,226 | 5,878 | 1,829 | 8,735 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 237 | 2 | 0 | 26,828 | |
| (-) Debt | (23,745) | 0 | (6,871) | (26,186) | (21,052) | (162,623) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 2 | 0 | (94) | (164) | 0 | (20,610) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 158,406 | 57,717 | 163,434 | 574,788 | 42,000 | 188,258 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,800.2 | 801.6 | 1,459.2 | 3,284.5 | 1,500.0 | 1,075.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 33.00 | 72.00 | 112.00 | 175.00 | 28.00 | 175.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 33.00 | 72.00 | 112.00 | 175.00 | 28.00 | 175.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |