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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 31.3x - 34.6x | 32.9x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 29.6x - 32.7x | 31.1x |
| Fair Value | Rp580.82 - Rp641.95 | Rp611.39 |
| Upside | -0.7% - 9.7% | 4.5% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| PT Kedawung Setia Industrial Tbk | - | IDX:KDSI |
| PT Satyamitra Kemas Lestari Tbk | - | IDX:SMKL |
| PT Berlina Tbk | - | IDX:BRNA |
| PT Paperocks Indonesia Tbk | - | IDX:PPRI |
| PT Alkindo Naratama Tbk | - | IDX:ALDO |
| PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk | - | IDX:AKPI |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| KDSI | SMKL | BRNA | PPRI | ALDO | AKPI | |||
| IDX:KDSI | IDX:SMKL | IDX:BRNA | IDX:PPRI | IDX:ALDO | IDX:AKPI | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 5.8% | 9.9% | NM- | NM- | NM- | -27.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 7.0% | -40.5% | NM- | 20.1% | NM- | -58.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.9% | 89.0% | 75.3% | 99.9% | -199.9% | 122.7% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.4% | 2.8% | -12.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.7% | 0.7% | -8.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | -1.1% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.1% | 1.3% | -2.0% | 3.0% | -0.5% | 0.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.1% | 1.3% | -2.0% | 3.0% | -0.5% | 0.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.1x | 10.2x | 9.5x | 48.4x | 21.7x | NA | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.3x | 0.3x | 0.7x | 2.2x | 0.7x | 0.1x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 8.4x | 23.1x | -33.0x | 73.1x | -91.0x | 37.5x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -91.0x | 8.4x | 73.1x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -64.0x | 3.3x | 5.2x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | 31.3x | 32.9x | 34.6x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | 9,460 | 9,460 | 9,460 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 295,834 | 311,404 | 326,975 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 612.2 | 612.2 | 612.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 483.19 | 508.62 | 534.06 | |||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 483.19 | 508.62 | 534.06 | 585.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -17.4% | -13.1% | -8.7% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | KDSI | SMKL | BRNA | PPRI | ALDO | AKPI | |
| Value of Common Equity | 699,840 | 516,131 | 685,377 | 350,459 | 1,339,554 | 358,165 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,620.0 | 3,418.1 | 979.1 | 1,075.0 | 2,700.7 | 612.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 432.00 | 151.00 | 700.00 | 326.00 | 496.00 | 585.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 432.00 | 151.00 | 700.00 | 326.00 | 496.00 | 585.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |