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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 6.8x - 7.5x | 7.2x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8.1x - 8.9x | 8.5x |
| Fair Value | Rp6,262 - Rp6,927 | Rp6,595 |
| Upside | 11.3% - 23.1% | 17.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Indofood Agri Resources Ltd. | 5JS | SGX:5JS |
| PT Pulau Subur Tbk | PTPS | IDX:PTPS |
| PT Tunas Baru Lampung Tbk | TBLA | IDX:TBLA |
| PT Diamond Food Indonesia Tbk | DMND | IDX:DMND |
| PT Sumber Tani Agung Resources Tbk | STAA | IDX:STAA |
| PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk | AALI | IDX:AALI |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 5JS | PTPS | TBLA | DMND | STAA | AALI | ||
| SGX:5JS | IDX:PTPS | IDX:TBLA | IDX:DMND | IDX:STAA | IDX:AALI | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 43.0% | NM- | 6.6% | -1.7% | 31.6% | 9.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 5.4% | 17.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 3.4% | -16.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 81.1% | 0.5% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 81.3% | 6.9% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 14.6% | 49.6% | 13.9% | 5.1% | 25.5% | 9.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 13.2% | 53.2% | 13.1% | 4.3% | 19.8% | 8.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 23.9% | 51.8% | 12.3% | 4.5% | 29.5% | 8.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 23.9% | 51.8% | 12.3% | 4.5% | 29.5% | 8.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.14x | 1.33x | 1.01x | 0.69x | 1.54x | 0.51x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.5x | 2.4x | 5.7x | 10.4x | 4.4x | 3.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 4.8x | 2.6x | 8.2x | 15.3x | 5.2x | 6.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 2.6x | 5.2x | 15.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 6.2x | 7.3x | 14.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 6.8x | 7.2x | 7.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,788,141 | 1,788,141 | 1,788,141 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 12,161,454 | 12,801,531 | 13,441,607 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (103,252) | (103,252) | (103,252) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 12,058,202 | 12,698,279 | 13,338,355 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,924.7 | 1,924.7 | 1,924.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 6,265.02 | 6,597.58 | 6,930.14 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 6,265.02 | 6,597.58 | 6,930.14 | 5,625.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 11.4% | 17.3% | 23.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 5JS | PTPS | TBLA | DMND | STAA | AALI | |
| Enterprise Value | 16,972,447 | 84,566 | 17,637,167 | 6,761,635 | 9,881,629 | 10,929,624 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 5,945,500 | 64,211 | 1,126,836 | 538,626 | 1,318,490 | 3,236,012 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,275,052 | 9,395 | 0 | 68,851 | 16,100 | 410,417 | |
| (-) Debt | (7,874,434) | (2,111) | (14,804,092) | (2,167) | (1,517,090) | (3,189,537) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (11,565,212) | 0 | (13,291) | (28,967) | (431,262) | (560,144) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 5,753,353 | 156,061 | 3,946,620 | 7,337,978 | 9,267,867 | 10,826,372 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,395.9 | 2,167.5 | 6,025.4 | 9,468.4 | 10,903.4 | 1,924.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 4,121.59 | 72.00 | 655.00 | 775.00 | 850.00 | 5,625.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 12,879.98 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.32 | 72.00 | 655.00 | 775.00 | 850.00 | 5,625.00 | |
| Trading Currency | SGD | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 12,879.98 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |