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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 16.0x - 17.7x | 16.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 9.8x - 10.8x | 10.3x |
| Fair Value | ₺32.22 - ₺38.05 | ₺35.14 |
| Upside | -12.2% - 3.7% | -4.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Galata Wind Enerji A.S. | GWIND | IBSE:GWIND |
| Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi | AKSUE | IBSE:AKSUE |
| Akenerji Elektrik Üretim A.S. | AKENR | IBSE:AKENR |
| Aksa Enerji Üretim A.S. | AKSEN | IBSE:AKSEN |
| Margün Enerji Üretim Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. | MAGEN | IBSE:MAGEN |
| Tatlipinar Enerji Uretim A.S. | TATEN | IBSE:TATEN |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| GWIND | AKSUE | AKENR | AKSEN | MAGEN | TATEN | ||
| IBSE:GWIND | IBSE:AKSUE | IBSE:AKENR | IBSE:AKSEN | IBSE:MAGEN | IBSE:TATEN | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 44.2% | -20.8% | NM- | 40.7% | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 40.8% | -36.7% | NM- | 41.4% | -26.7% | 70.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -32.4% | -87.5% | -111.8% | -43.2% | -72.6% | 32.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 61.9% | 41.2% | 6.0% | 15.2% | 28.7% | 47.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 55.0% | 23.5% | 5.6% | 18.5% | 19.8% | 55.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 42.2% | 3.5% | -0.9% | 16.9% | 5.2% | 50.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 42.2% | 3.5% | -0.9% | 16.9% | 5.2% | 50.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 6.22x | 10.71x | 0.94x | 2.34x | 33.88x | 8.56x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.1x | 49.1x | 13.4x | 10.1x | 107.1x | 12.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 14.7x | 308.5x | -107.5x | 13.9x | 646.0x | 17.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -107.5x | 14.7x | 646.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 12.2x | 14.6x | 17.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 16.0x | 16.9x | 17.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 987 | 987 | 987 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 15,830 | 16,663 | 17,496 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6,510) | (6,510) | (6,510) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 9,320 | 10,153 | 10,986 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 280.5 | 280.5 | 280.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 33.23 | 36.20 | 39.17 | ||||
| FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 33.23 | 36.20 | 39.17 | 36.70 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -9.5% | -1.4% | 6.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | GWIND | AKSUE | AKENR | AKSEN | MAGEN | TATEN | |
| Enterprise Value | 14,617 | 668 | 24,043 | 74,108 | 38,446 | 16,804 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,318 | 31 | 1,815 | 1,057 | 115 | 187 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 94 | 431 | 1 | 6 | 3,159 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,292) | (44) | (18,473) | (28,167) | (3,422) | (4,894) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (3,886) | 0 | (1,803) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 13,738 | 1,086 | 7,386 | 43,118 | 38,299 | 10,294 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 540.0 | 66.0 | 729.2 | 1,226.3 | 1,367.8 | 280.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 25.44 | 16.45 | 10.13 | 35.16 | 28.00 | 36.70 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 25.44 | 16.45 | 10.13 | 35.16 | 28.00 | 36.70 | |
| Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |