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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 21.3x - 23.5x | 22.4x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 20.1x - 22.2x | 21.1x |
| Fair Value | ₺17.38 - ₺19.22 | ₺18.30 |
| Upside | -39.7% - -33.3% | -36.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi | AKSUE | IBSE:AKSUE |
| Aksa Enerji Üretim A.S. | AKSEN | IBSE:AKSEN |
| Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Üretim A.S. | ZOREN | IBSE:ZOREN |
| Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. | AYDEM | IBSE:AYDEM |
| Kartal Yenilenebilir Enerji Uretim A.S. | KARYE | IBSE:KARYE |
| Margün Enerji Üretim Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. | MAGEN | IBSE:MAGEN |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| AKSUE | AKSEN | ZOREN | AYDEM | KARYE | MAGEN | |||
| IBSE:AKSUE | IBSE:AKSEN | IBSE:ZOREN | IBSE:AYDEM | IBSE:KARYE | IBSE:MAGEN | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 40.0% | 41.5% | 29.3% | 40.6% | 58.1% | NM- | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 53.3% | 31.6% | 36.6% | 74.4% | 63.3% | 30.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -15.3% | -37.7% | -24.7% | -28.3% | 48.2% | 3.6% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 41.2% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 43.1% | 41.3% | 28.7% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 23.5% | 18.5% | 6.3% | 32.4% | 18.3% | 19.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.5% | 16.9% | 3.9% | 15.3% | 39.3% | 5.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.5% | 16.9% | 3.9% | 15.3% | 39.3% | 5.2% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 14.74x | 2.28x | 1.87x | 5.35x | 5.41x | 34.85x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 424.7x | 13.5x | 47.4x | 35.1x | 13.8x | 664.4x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 21.43x | 1.30x | 0.57x | 2.05x | 4.15x | 34.72x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.87x | 5.35x | 14.74x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 7.94x | 18.46x | 34.85x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 21.29x | 22.41x | 23.53x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 1,135 | 1,135 | 1,135 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 24,155 | 25,426 | 26,697 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (147) | (147) | (147) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 24,007 | 25,278 | 26,550 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,367.8 | 1,367.8 | 1,367.8 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 17.55 | 18.48 | 19.41 | |||||
| FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 17.55 | 18.48 | 19.41 | 28.80 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -39.1% | -35.8% | -32.6% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | AKSUE | AKSEN | ZOREN | AYDEM | KARYE | MAGEN | |
| Enterprise Value | 920 | 72,097 | 55,386 | 35,243 | 2,098 | 39,540 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 31 | 1,057 | 1,542 | 2,603 | 55 | 115 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 431 | 6 | 5,752 | 0 | 0 | 3,159 | |
| (-) Debt | (44) | (28,167) | (45,729) | (24,371) | (546) | (3,422) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (3,886) | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,337 | 41,107 | 16,950 | 13,475 | 1,607 | 39,393 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 66.0 | 1,226.3 | 5,000.0 | 698.9 | 55.0 | 1,367.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 20.26 | 33.52 | 3.39 | 19.28 | 29.22 | 28.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 20.26 | 33.52 | 3.39 | 19.28 | 29.22 | 28.80 | |
| Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |