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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 5.2x - 5.8x | 5.5x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 1.5x - 1.7x | 1.6x |
| Fair Value | ₺152.09 - ₺179.17 | ₺165.63 |
| Upside | 4.7% - 23.4% | 14.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Alarko Holding A.S. | ALARK | IBSE:ALARK |
| Bera Holding A.S. | BERA | IBSE:BERA |
| AG Anadolu Grubu Holding A.S. | AGHOL | IBSE:AGHOL |
| Mazhar Zorlu Holding A.S. | MZHLD | IBSE:MZHLD |
| Ihlas Holding A.S. | IHLAS | IBSE:IHLAS |
| Koç Holding A.S. | KCHOL | IBSE:KCHOL |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ALARK | BERA | AGHOL | MZHLD | IHLAS | KCHOL | ||
| IBSE:ALARK | IBSE:BERA | IBSE:AGHOL | IBSE:MZHLD | IBSE:IHLAS | IBSE:KCHOL | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 50.7% | 56.3% | NM- | NM- | 62.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 48.4% | 74.4% | NM- | NM- | 39.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -1508.5% | -5.0% | 11.0% | -242.2% | -22.3% | -65.1% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.4% | 17.6% | 10.3% | 4.7% | -5.9% | 11.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 0.5% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 4.6% | -14.4% | 14.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -11.1% | 14.7% | 8.8% | -9.2% | -18.6% | 5.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -11.1% | 14.7% | 8.8% | -9.2% | -18.6% | 5.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.27x | 0.77x | 0.44x | 2.12x | 1.07x | 0.28x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -2.4x | 5.2x | 4.9x | -23.1x | -5.8x | 5.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -1.3x | 6.0x | 7.4x | -14.5x | -5.1x | 9.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -23.1x | -2.4x | 5.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 0.8x | 4.7x | 9.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.2x | 5.5x | 5.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 118,067 | 118,067 | 118,067 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 615,562 | 647,960 | 680,358 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (266,572) | (266,572) | (266,572) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 348,990 | 381,388 | 413,786 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,535.9 | 2,535.9 | 2,535.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 137.62 | 150.40 | 163.17 | ||||
| FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 137.62 | 150.40 | 163.17 | 145.20 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -5.2% | 3.6% | 12.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ALARK | BERA | AGHOL | MZHLD | IHLAS | KCHOL | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,603 | 12,562 | 246,110 | 3,276 | 10,819 | 634,784 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 13,516 | 3,216 | 84,878 | 13 | 757 | 365,130 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 47,081 | 126 | 8,971 | 282 | 271 | 577,651 | |
| (-) Debt | (15,629) | (2,162) | (116,021) | (81) | (882) | (879,324) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (4,638) | (3,393) | (155,688) | (2,844) | (7,111) | (330,029) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 42,934 | 10,350 | 68,251 | 647 | 3,855 | 368,212 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 435.0 | 683.2 | 243.5 | 108.6 | 1,500.0 | 2,535.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 98.70 | 15.15 | 280.25 | 5.96 | 2.57 | 145.20 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 98.70 | 15.15 | 280.25 | 5.96 | 2.57 | 145.20 | |
| Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |