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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 2.2x - 2.4x | 2.3x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 11.5x - 12.7x | 12.1x |
| Fair Value | ₺198.47 - ₺219.37 | ₺208.92 |
| Upside | -25.2% - -17.4% | -21.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari A.S. | - | IBSE:BAGFS |
| Koza Polyester Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi | - | IBSE:KOPOL |
| DYO Boya Fabrikalari Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. | - | IBSE:DYOBY |
| Petkim Petrokimya Holding Anonim Sirketi | - | IBSE:PETKM |
| Polisan Holding A.S. | - | IBSE:POLHO |
| Gübre Fabrikalari Türk Anonim Sirketi | - | IBSE:GUBRF |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| BAGFS | KOPOL | DYOBY | PETKM | POLHO | GUBRF | |||
| IBSE:BAGFS | IBSE:KOPOL | IBSE:DYOBY | IBSE:PETKM | IBSE:POLHO | IBSE:GUBRF | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 14.1% | NM- | 56.7% | 46.0% | 43.6% | 50.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -1.0% | 54.1% | 67.0% | 39.2% | 46.5% | 87.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -59.4% | 35.1% | -13.0% | -11.3% | -23.5% | -48.1% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -31.2% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 2.1% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -52.3% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 0.5% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -77.7% | 8.1% | -1.6% | -8.2% | -10.2% | -1.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -77.7% | 8.1% | -1.6% | -8.2% | -10.2% | 2.7% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -27.4x | 9.7x | 7.8x | -35.6x | 9.5x | 19.1x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.6x | 1.3x | 0.5x | 0.5x | 1.9x | 2.7x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -2.1x | 16.5x | -31.0x | -6.5x | -18.7x | 98.8x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.5x | 1.3x | 1.9x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.6x | 3.3x | 6.0x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 2.2x | 2.3x | 2.4x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 33,336 | 33,336 | 33,336 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 72,990 | 76,832 | 80,673 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 334.0 | 334.0 | 334.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 218.53 | 230.04 | 241.54 | |||||
| FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 218.53 | 230.04 | 241.54 | 265.50 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -17.7% | -13.4% | -9.0% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | BAGFS | KOPOL | DYOBY | PETKM | POLHO | GUBRF | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,705 | 6,524 | 5,244 | 41,311 | 11,855 | 88,677 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 135.0 | 1,297.0 | 300.0 | 2,534.4 | 758.5 | 334.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 20.04 | 5.03 | 17.48 | 16.30 | 15.63 | 265.50 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 20.04 | 5.03 | 17.48 | 16.30 | 15.63 | 265.50 | |
| Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |