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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 8.8x - 9.8x | 9.3x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 8.2x - 9.1x | 8.7x |
| Fair Value | ₺2.32 - ₺2.56 | ₺2.44 |
| Upside | 45.9% - 61.3% | 53.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Park Elektrik Üretim Madencilik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. | PRKME | IBSE:PRKME |
| IZDEMIR Enerji Elektrik Uretim A.S. | IZENR | IBSE:IZENR |
| Çates Elektrik Üretim Anonim Sirketi | CATES | IBSE:CATES |
| Ayen Enerji A.S. | AYEN | IBSE:AYEN |
| Odas Elektrik Üretim Sanayi Ticaret A.S. | ODAS | IBSE:ODAS |
| Çan2 Termik A.S. | CANTE | IBSE:CANTE |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| PRKME | IZENR | CATES | AYEN | ODAS | CANTE | ||
| IBSE:PRKME | IBSE:IZENR | IBSE:CATES | IBSE:AYEN | IBSE:ODAS | IBSE:CANTE | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | 51.4% | 50.8% | 57.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 123.7% | NM- | 199.7% | 48.7% | 67.3% | 75.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 29.5% | -38.2% | -51.1% | 6.3% | -45.3% | -11.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 46.9% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 38.6% | 32.1% | 33.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 58.3% | 12.1% | 25.5% | 25.2% | 26.1% | 25.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 67.8% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 31.5% | 19.6% | 31.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 67.8% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 31.5% | 19.6% | 31.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 4.00x | 2.07x | 0.84x | 2.02x | 2.43x | 1.82x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.9x | 18.5x | 4.7x | 6.4x | 12.4x | 5.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 16.6x | 59.6x | 74.0x | 10.1x | -54.5x | 26.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.7x | 6.4x | 18.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.1x | 11.9x | 28.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.8x | 9.3x | 9.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 1,900 | 1,900 | 1,900 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 16,788 | 17,672 | 18,555 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 6 | 6 | 6 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 16,794 | 17,677 | 18,561 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 7,000.0 | 7,000.0 | 7,000.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 2.40 | 2.53 | 2.65 | ||||
| FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.40 | 2.53 | 2.65 | 1.59 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 50.9% | 58.8% | 66.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | PRKME | IZENR | CATES | AYEN | ODAS | CANTE | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,553 | 15,016 | 4,525 | 13,075 | 18,983 | 11,124 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 86 | 721 | 399 | 520 | 1,854 | 157 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | (563) | (83) | (5,803) | (510) | (82) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (555) | (13,511) | (70) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,639 | 15,176 | 4,840 | 7,237 | 6,818 | 11,130 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 148.9 | 2,443.8 | 165.2 | 277.5 | 1,400.0 | 7,000.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 17.73 | 6.21 | 29.30 | 26.08 | 4.87 | 1.59 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 17.73 | 6.21 | 29.30 | 26.08 | 4.87 | 1.59 | |
| Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |