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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 19.8x - 21.9x | 20.8x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 23.5x - 26.0x | 24.7x |
| Fair Value | ₺4.77 - ₺5.39 | ₺5.08 |
| Upside | -3.0% - 9.6% | 3.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi A.S. | SUMAS | IBSE:SUMAS |
| Dogusan Boru Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. | DOGUB | IBSE:DOGUB |
| Batisöke Söke Çimento Sanayii T.A.S. | BSOKE | IBSE:BSOKE |
| Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi | KONYA | IBSE:KONYA |
| Akçansa Çimento Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi | AKCNS | IBSE:AKCNS |
| Batiçim Bati Anadolu Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi | BTCIM | IBSE:BTCIM |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SUMAS | DOGUB | BSOKE | KONYA | AKCNS | BTCIM | ||
| IBSE:SUMAS | IBSE:DOGUB | IBSE:BSOKE | IBSE:KONYA | IBSE:AKCNS | IBSE:BTCIM | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 29.8% | NM- | 53.3% | 78.0% | 73.0% | 45.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -1.8% | NM- | 214.0% | 105.7% | 112.2% | 154.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -69.2% | -1044.6% | 498.6% | -73.0% | -32.9% | 15.1% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 26.4% | -15.0% | 3.3% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 10.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 26.3% | -2.7% | -2.1% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 8.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.8% | -50.2% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 17.2% | 13.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.8% | -50.2% | 12.4% | 4.9% | 17.2% | 16.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 4.44x | 12.87x | 9.67x | 5.79x | 1.22x | 3.35x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 41.1x | -25.6x | 77.9x | 119.2x | 7.1x | 20.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 62.0x | -23.6x | 1316.0x | -1969.1x | 10.1x | 36.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -25.6x | 41.1x | 119.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.8x | 20.8x | 40.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 19.8x | 20.8x | 21.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 1,614 | 1,614 | 1,614 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 31,965 | 33,647 | 35,330 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6,225) | (6,225) | (6,225) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 25,740 | 27,423 | 29,105 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5,583.3 | 5,583.3 | 5,583.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 4.61 | 4.91 | 5.21 | ||||
| FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.61 | 4.91 | 5.21 | 4.92 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -6.3% | -0.2% | 6.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SUMAS | DOGUB | BSOKE | KONYA | AKCNS | BTCIM | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,002 | 636 | 30,332 | 29,347 | 26,164 | 33,694 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 117 | 2 | 38 | 148 | 4,509 | 59 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2 | 5 | 0 | 119 | 4,232 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (4) | 0 | (4,194) | (458) | (2,818) | (4,538) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | 0 | (1,746) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,116 | 643 | 26,176 | 29,155 | 32,087 | 27,470 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6.2 | 39.0 | 1,600.0 | 4.9 | 191.4 | 5,583.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 340.25 | 16.48 | 16.36 | 5,982.50 | 167.60 | 4.92 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 340.25 | 16.48 | 16.36 | 5,982.50 | 167.60 | 4.92 | |
| Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |