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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.7x - 1.9x | 1.8x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.5x - 1.6x | 1.5x |
| Fair Value | ₫14,510 - ₫16,112 | ₫15,311 |
| Upside | -17.1% - -7.9% | -12.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Ho Chi Minh City Infrastructure Investment Joint Stock Company | CII | HOSE:CII |
| PT Citra Marga Nusaphala Persada Tbk | CMNP | IDX:CMNP |
| Hai An Transport And Stevedoring Joint Stock Company | HAH | HOSE:HAH |
| Noibai Cargo Terminal Services Joint Stock Company | NCT | HOSE:NCT |
| Dong Nai Port Joint Stock Company | PDN | HOSE:PDN |
| Vietnam Container Shipping Joint Stock Corporation | VSC | HOSE:VSC |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| CII | CMNP | HAH | NCT | PDN | VSC | |||
| HOSE:CII | IDX:CMNP | HOSE:HAH | HOSE:NCT | HOSE:PDN | HOSE:VSC | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 10.8% | 14.9% | 29.2% | 5.6% | 12.5% | 5.2% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 1.9% | 43.5% | 26.9% | 7.4% | 14.4% | 8.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -2.0% | 61.6% | 52.8% | 31.2% | 14.6% | 27.8% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 14.2% | 28.1% | 24.9% | 35.6% | 26.2% | 21.7% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 19.6% | 27.7% | 18.6% | 35.8% | 30.4% | 19.6% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 34.3% | 22.4% | 26.5% | 32.8% | 31.0% | 22.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 34.3% | 24.3% | 26.5% | 32.8% | 31.0% | 22.8% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 10.10x | 2.38x | 2.01x | 2.67x | 3.26x | 1.98x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 29.5x | 9.8x | 7.6x | 8.1x | 10.5x | 8.7x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.54x | 1.49x | 1.54x | 3.22x | 3.78x | 1.91x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 2.01x | 2.67x | 10.10x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.01x | 1.65x | 1.98x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.73x | 1.82x | 1.92x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 2,787,913 | 2,787,913 | 2,787,913 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,830,810 | 5,085,063 | 5,339,316 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (212,831) | (212,831) | (212,831) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,617,978 | 4,872,231 | 5,126,484 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 299.5 | 299.5 | 299.5 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 15,418.92 | 16,267.84 | 17,116.76 | |||||
| FX Rate: VND/VND | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 15,418.92 | 16,267.84 | 17,116.76 | 17,500.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -11.9% | -7.0% | -2.2% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CII | CMNP | HAH | NCT | PDN | VSC | |
| Enterprise Value | 30,549,655 | 16,371,661 | 8,010,976 | 2,443,330 | 4,344,918 | 5,454,096 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,368,657 | 84,747 | 992,390 | 440,498 | 690,750 | 1,352,965 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,023,929 | 576,229 | 173,753 | 65,050 | 70,965 | 759,362 | |
| (-) Debt | (23,173,638) | (5,521,180) | (2,330,258) | 0 | (68,661) | (1,950,053) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (3,096,931) | (1,517,971) | (694,766) | 0 | 0 | (375,106) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 7,671,672 | 9,993,486 | 6,152,095 | 2,948,878 | 5,037,971 | 5,241,264 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 548.0 | 6,020.2 | 121.3 | 26.2 | 37.0 | 299.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 14,000.00 | 1,660.00 | 50,700.00 | 112,700.00 | 136,000.00 | 17,500.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 14,000.00 | 1,660.00 | 50,700.00 | 112,700.00 | 136,000.00 | 17,500.00 | |
| Trading Currency | VND | IDR | VND | VND | VND | VND | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |