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5 年 DCF EBITDA 退出價
股價
87,000.00
VND
公允價值
77,650.74
VND
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
9.5% - 8.5%
9.0%
Terminal EBITDA Multiple
21.0x - 23.0x
22.0x
Fair Value
₫71,567 - ₫83,967
₫77,651
Upside
-17.7% - -3.5%
-10.7%
15.2%
Revenue 5y CAGR
52.3%
5y Avg EBITDA Margin
NM
Unlevered FCF 5y CAGR
5-Year DCF Model: EBITDA Exit
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儲存
股價
87,000.00
VND
公允價值
77,650.74
VND
看漲
-10.7%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(VND in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Revenue
646,015
872,120
1,046,544
1,177,362
1,265,664
1,309,962
% Growth
55.3%
35.0%
20.0%
12.5%
7.5%
3.5%
EBITDA
374,398
404,289
537,474
634,092
694,306
718,607
% of Revenue
58.0%
46.4%
51.4%
53.9%
54.9%
54.9%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(VND in millions)
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
EBITDA
404,289
537,474
634,092
694,306
718,607
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(13,653)
(16,384)
(18,432)
(19,814)
(20,508)
EBIT
390,636
521,090
615,660
674,492
698,099
Pro forma Taxes
(109,378)
(145,905)
(172,385)
(188,858)
(195,468)
NOPAT
264,007
281,258
375,185
443,276
485,634
502,631
Capital Expenditures
(1,542)
(2,388)
(2,865)
(3,223)
(3,465)
(3,586)
NWC Investment
(1,214,072)
(1,193,558)
(920,745)
(690,559)
(466,127)
(233,840)
(+) D&A
7,722
13,653
16,384
18,432
19,814
20,508
Free Cash Flow
(943,885)
(901,035)
(532,041)
(232,074)
35,856
285,713
% Growth
NM
NM
NM
NM
697%
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