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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 20.5x - 22.6x | 21.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 7.0x - 7.7x | 7.4x |
| Fair Value | ₫9,391 - ₫10,551 | ₫9,971 |
| Upside | -21.7% - -12.1% | -16.9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| TienLen Steel Corporation Joint Stock Company | TLH | HOSE:TLH |
| Vicostone Joint Stock Company | VCS | HNX:VCS |
| PT Solusi Bangun Indonesia Tbk | SMCB | IDX:SMCB |
| Thuan Duc Joint Stock Company | TDP | HOSE:TDP |
| An Cuong Wood - Working Joint Stock Company | ACG | HOSE:ACG |
| Ha Tien 1 Cement Joint Stock Company | HT1 | HOSE:HT1 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| TLH | VCS | SMCB | TDP | ACG | HT1 | ||
| HOSE:TLH | HNX:VCS | IDX:SMCB | HOSE:TDP | HOSE:ACG | HOSE:HT1 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | -11.5% | 103.2% | 17.4% | -1.8% | -31.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | -24.5% | -4.3% | NM- | 2.8% | -33.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -712.3% | -8.5% | -16.7% | 17.8% | 8.4% | -6.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.3% | 26.8% | 13.0% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 7.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 1.1% | 23.1% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 2.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -6.6% | 21.3% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 2.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -6.6% | 21.3% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 2.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.38x | 1.85x | 0.76x | 0.89x | 0.98x | 0.76x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -6.2x | 7.6x | 4.8x | 11.2x | 7.2x | 7.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -5.7x | 8.7x | 7.3x | 13.7x | 8.7x | 29.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -5.7x | 8.7x | 13.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 7.8x | 14.1x | 29.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 20.5x | 21.6x | 22.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 175,064 | 175,064 | 175,064 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,587,217 | 3,776,018 | 3,964,819 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (619,133) | (619,133) | (619,133) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,968,084 | 3,156,885 | 3,345,686 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 381.6 | 381.6 | 381.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 7,778.20 | 8,272.98 | 8,767.75 | ||||
| FX Rate: VND/VND | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 7,778.20 | 8,272.98 | 8,767.75 | 12,000.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -35.2% | -31.1% | -26.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TLH | VCS | SMCB | TDP | ACG | HT1 | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,394,496 | 7,990,461 | 8,982,342 | 3,919,876 | 3,882,586 | 5,198,212 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 181,062 | 2,254,697 | 150,342 | 1,038,465 | 1,915,666 | 865,530 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 110,364 | 0 | 0 | 506,218 | 780,329 | 36,484 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,038,429) | (965,158) | (2,142,663) | (2,535,580) | (728,009) | (1,511,390) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (15,132) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (9,757) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 632,362 | 9,280,000 | 6,990,021 | 2,928,979 | 5,850,572 | 4,579,079 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 112.3 | 160.0 | 9,019.4 | 88.2 | 150.8 | 381.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 5,630.00 | 58,000.00 | 775.00 | 33,200.00 | 38,800.00 | 12,000.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 5,630.00 | 58,000.00 | 775.00 | 33,200.00 | 38,800.00 | 12,000.00 | |
| Trading Currency | VND | VND | IDR | VND | VND | VND | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |