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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 17.3x - 19.1x | 18.2x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8.4x - 9.3x | 8.9x |
| Fair Value | ₫13,772 - ₫15,988 | ₫14,880 |
| Upside | 25.2% - 45.3% | 35.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Thanh Thanh Cong - Bien Hoa Joint Stock Company | SBT | HOSE:SBT |
| Vinh Hoan Corporation | VHC | HOSE:VHC |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk | JPFA | IDX:JPFA |
| PT Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk. | SSMS | IDX:SSMS |
| PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Company Tbk | ULTJ | IDX:ULTJ |
| Hoang Anh Gia Lai Joint Stock Company | HAG | HOSE:HAG |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SBT | VHC | JPFA | SSMS | ULTJ | HAG | ||
| HOSE:SBT | HOSE:VHC | IDX:JPFA | IDX:SSMS | IDX:ULTJ | HOSE:HAG | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 132.1% | 2.0% | 10.4% | 41.9% | 1.9% | -5.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 13.1% | 1.5% | 18.2% | 0.5% | -4.0% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.7% | 29.3% | 132.0% | 55.2% | -3.9% | -15.8% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.0% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 23.9% | 19.9% | -1.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.8% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 11.0% | 18.0% | 44.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 13.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 21.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.64x | 0.95x | 0.61x | 1.99x | 1.46x | 3.45x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.4x | 7.0x | 5.5x | 9.4x | 8.2x | 10.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 10.8x | 9.5x | 6.6x | 11.4x | 9.0x | 15.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 6.6x | 9.5x | 11.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -36.2x | 10.0x | 737.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 17.3x | 18.2x | 19.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,220,438 | 1,220,438 | 1,220,438 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 21,075,049 | 22,184,262 | 23,293,475 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (7,707,054) | (7,707,054) | (7,707,054) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 13,367,995 | 14,477,208 | 15,586,421 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,057.4 | 1,057.4 | 1,057.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 12,642.33 | 13,691.34 | 14,740.34 | ||||
| FX Rate: VND/VND | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 12,642.33 | 13,691.34 | 14,740.34 | 11,000.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 14.9% | 24.5% | 34.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SBT | VHC | JPFA | SSMS | ULTJ | HAG | |
| Enterprise Value | 19,328,024 | 11,848,823 | 33,572,778 | 20,901,890 | 12,947,987 | 19,338,446 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 8,775,958 | 2,910,419 | 1,356,331 | 1,180,282 | 2,434,322 | 113,974 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 4,763,508 | 69,482 | 281,816 | 550,420 | 132,526 | 443,168 | |
| (-) Debt | (20,343,669) | (2,277,107) | (10,743,624) | (7,082,088) | (37,848) | (7,687,549) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (89,532) | (318,920) | (1,095,684) | (262,879) | (87,688) | (576,647) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | (216,113) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 12,218,176 | 12,232,697 | 23,371,617 | 15,287,625 | 15,389,299 | 11,631,392 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 814.5 | 224.5 | 11,627.7 | 9,525.0 | 10,398.2 | 1,057.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 15,000.00 | 54,500.00 | 2,010.00 | 1,605.00 | 1,480.00 | 11,000.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 15,000.00 | 54,500.00 | 2,010.00 | 1,605.00 | 1,480.00 | 11,000.00 | |
| Trading Currency | VND | VND | IDR | IDR | IDR | VND | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |