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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 24.7x - 27.3x | 26.0x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 33.1x - 36.6x | 34.8x |
| Fair Value | ₫4,968 - ₫9,886 | ₫7,427 |
| Upside | -62.2% - -24.8% | -43.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk | WIKA | IDX:WIKA |
| PT Citra Marga Nusaphala Persada Tbk | CMNP | IDX:CMNP |
| Vietnam Construction and Import-Export Joint Stock Corporation | VCG | HOSE:VCG |
| Hai An Transport And Stevedoring Joint Stock Company | HAH | HOSE:HAH |
| Deo Ca Traffic Infrastructure Investment Joint Stock Company | HHV | HOSE:HHV |
| Ho Chi Minh City Infrastructure Investment Joint Stock Company | CII | HOSE:CII |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| WIKA | CMNP | VCG | HAH | HHV | CII | ||
| IDX:WIKA | IDX:CMNP | HOSE:VCG | HOSE:HAH | HOSE:HHV | HOSE:CII | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -4.9% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 47.3% | 52.2% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 33.9% | 20.2% | 33.0% | 18.8% | NM- | 57.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 164.7% | 0.4% | 32.2% | 117.5% | 24.5% | 70.9% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.4% | 28.6% | 6.0% | 24.9% | 47.6% | 14.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -13.6% | 22.4% | 9.2% | 18.6% | 38.0% | 19.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.3% | 41.8% | 12.0% | 26.5% | 38.4% | 34.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.3% | 41.8% | 12.0% | 26.5% | 38.4% | 34.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.46x | 4.17x | 1.51x | 2.44x | 7.63x | 10.00x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.0x | 8.8x | 10.2x | 6.4x | 15.6x | 15.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 14.2x | 10.0x | 12.6x | 9.2x | 19.9x | 29.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 9.2x | 12.6x | 19.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 27.4x | 29.7x | 112.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 24.7x | 26.0x | 27.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,037,209 | 1,037,209 | 1,037,209 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 25,600,594 | 26,947,994 | 28,295,394 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (22,877,983) | (22,877,983) | (22,877,983) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,722,611 | 4,070,011 | 5,417,411 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 548.0 | 548.0 | 548.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 4,968.48 | 7,427.34 | 9,886.21 | ||||
| FX Rate: VND/VND | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4,968.48 | 7,427.34 | 9,886.21 | 13,150.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -62.2% | -43.5% | -24.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | WIKA | CMNP | VCG | HAH | HHV | CII | |
| Enterprise Value | 28,181,991 | 17,090,724 | 19,523,466 | 9,730,483 | 5,100,615 | 30,083,875 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3,361,003 | 132,901 | 4,295,784 | 992,390 | 0 | 2,368,657 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 15,131,817 | 550,603 | 675,373 | 173,753 | 0 | 1,023,929 | |
| (-) Debt | (35,538,190) | (6,641,194) | (8,758,976) | (2,330,258) | 0 | (23,173,638) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (3,002,739) | (1,470,459) | (2,955,677) | (694,766) | 0 | (3,096,931) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 8,133,881 | 9,662,576 | 12,779,970 | 7,871,602 | 5,100,615 | 7,205,892 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 39,872.0 | 6,020.3 | 598.6 | 129.9 | 432.3 | 548.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 204.00 | 1,605.00 | 21,350.00 | 60,600.00 | 11,800.00 | 13,150.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 204.00 | 1,605.00 | 21,350.00 | 60,600.00 | 11,800.00 | 13,150.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | VND | VND | VND | VND | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |