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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 17.1x - 19.0x | 18.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 14.9x - 16.5x | 15.7x |
| Fair Value | ₫4,783 - ₫8,797 | ₫6,790 |
| Upside | -40.7% - 9.0% | -15.9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Ba Ria - Vung Tau House Development Joint Stock Company | HDC | HOSE:HDC |
| Tu Liem Urban Development Joint Stock Company | NTL | HOSE:NTL |
| Nam Long Investment Corporation | NLG | HOSE:NLG |
| Century Land Joint Stock Company | CRE | HOSE:CRE |
| De Tam Joint Stock Company | DTA | HOSE:DTA |
| Sao Mai Group Corporation | ASM | HOSE:ASM |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| HDC | NTL | NLG | CRE | DTA | ASM | ||
| HOSE:HDC | HOSE:NTL | HOSE:NLG | HOSE:CRE | HOSE:DTA | HOSE:ASM | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -3.0% | 21.2% | 21.0% | -23.1% | NM- | -0.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -27.2% | 40.9% | 28.7% | -40.5% | NM- | -0.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | NM | 62.4% | 249.6% | 385.6% | NM | 2.0% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 33.3% | 46.4% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 36.0% | 52.8% | 18.3% | 3.0% | 10.7% | 7.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 29.9% | 57.4% | 23.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 32.7% | 57.1% | 22.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 12.19x | 0.80x | 2.54x | 3.16x | 1.40x | 1.26x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 34.4x | 1.4x | 11.0x | 31.5x | NA | 12.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 37.3x | 1.4x | 11.1x | 35.5x | 23.9x | 18.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 1.4x | 23.9x | 37.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 9.1x | 15.7x | 18.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 17.1x | 18.1x | 19.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 829,455 | 829,455 | 829,455 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 14,223,878 | 14,972,503 | 15,721,128 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (12,342,775) | (12,342,775) | (12,342,775) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,881,103 | 2,629,728 | 3,378,353 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 370.2 | 370.2 | 370.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 5,081.61 | 7,103.95 | 9,126.29 | ||||
| FX Rate: VND/VND | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5,081.61 | 7,103.95 | 9,126.29 | 8,070.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -37.0% | -12.0% | 13.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | HDC | NTL | NLG | CRE | DTA | ASM | |
| Enterprise Value | 6,985,307 | 1,100,843 | 21,010,676 | 4,862,724 | 191,794 | 15,330,113 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 15,418 | 1,283,864 | 5,003,392 | 188,391 | 7,461 | 3,409,282 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 840,486 | 0 | 1,800,569 | 0 | 10,450 | 33,310 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,585,981) | 0 | (7,101,130) | (946,528) | (123,018) | (13,112,319) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (21,724) | 0 | (4,732,882) | (42,763) | 0 | (2,673,048) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 6,233,506 | 2,384,707 | 15,980,625 | 4,061,823 | 86,687 | 2,987,338 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 178.4 | 122.0 | 385.1 | 463.7 | 18.1 | 370.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 34,950.00 | 19,550.00 | 41,500.00 | 8,760.00 | 4,800.00 | 8,070.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 34,950.00 | 19,550.00 | 41,500.00 | 8,760.00 | 4,800.00 | 8,070.00 | |
| Trading Currency | VND | VND | VND | VND | VND | VND | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |