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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 7.5x - 8.3x | 7.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 8.0x - 8.8x | 8.4x |
| Fair Value | ₫14,020 - ₫15,584 | ₫14,802 |
| Upside | -1.3% - 9.7% | 4.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Bac Kan Mineral Joint Stock Corporation | BKC | HNX:BKC |
| Song Hong Aluminium Joint Stock Company | NSH | HNX:NSH |
| TNT Group Joint Stock Company | TNT | HOSE:TNT |
| Thien Quang Group Joint Stock Company | ITQ | HNX:ITQ |
| Dai Thien Loc Corporation | DTL | HOSE:DTL |
| Tung Kuang Industrial Joint Stock Company | TKU | HNX:TKU |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| BKC | NSH | TNT | ITQ | DTL | TKU | ||
| HNX:BKC | HNX:NSH | HOSE:TNT | HNX:ITQ | HOSE:DTL | HNX:TKU | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 21.7% | -1.5% | NM- | NM- | -22.3% | 3.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 31.9% | 13.1% | NM- | NM- | -46.4% | -10.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 184.7% | -11.5% | 58.9% | -30.7% | 292.3% | 341.2% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 10.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 8.2% | 11.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.7% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 4.0% | -0.7% | 2.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 14.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 11.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 14.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 11.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.07x | 0.55x | 0.19x | 0.35x | 0.77x | 0.86x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.3x | 11.1x | 10.7x | 12.9x | 54.6x | 7.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.6x | 15.5x | 10.9x | 28.8x | -45.6x | 10.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.3x | 11.1x | 54.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.1x | 6.9x | 23.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.5x | 7.9x | 8.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 97,212 | 97,212 | 97,212 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 727,761 | 766,065 | 804,368 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (39,247) | (39,247) | (39,247) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 688,514 | 726,817 | 765,120 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 46.9 | 46.9 | 46.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 14,686.29 | 15,503.32 | 16,320.34 | ||||
| FX Rate: VND/VND | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 14,686.29 | 15,503.32 | 16,320.34 | 14,200.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 3.4% | 9.2% | 14.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | BKC | NSH | TNT | ITQ | DTL | TKU | |
| Enterprise Value | 605,850 | 561,434 | 241,740 | 79,608 | 1,523,444 | 704,963 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 143,694 | 14,513 | 0 | 0 | 4,515 | 324,440 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 26,570 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (47,202) | (491,103) | 0 | 0 | (915,586) | (363,687) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 728,913 | 84,843 | 241,740 | 79,608 | 612,373 | 665,716 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 11.7 | 20.7 | 51.0 | 31.8 | 60.6 | 46.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 62,100.00 | 4,100.00 | 4,740.00 | 2,500.00 | 10,100.00 | 14,200.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 62,100.00 | 4,100.00 | 4,740.00 | 2,500.00 | 10,100.00 | 14,200.00 | |
| Trading Currency | VND | VND | VND | VND | VND | VND | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |