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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 7.7x - 8.5x | 8.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 2.3x - 2.6x | 2.5x |
| Fair Value | ₫8,871 - ₫9,254 | ₫9,063 |
| Upside | 9.5% - 14.2% | 11.9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Song Da 9 Joint Stock Company | SD9 | HNX:SD9 |
| Thang Long Joint Stock Corporation | TTL | HNX:TTL |
| LILAMA 10 Joint Stock Company | L10 | HOSE:L10 |
| Construction Joint Stock Company No. 1 | VC1 | HNX:VC1 |
| CIC39 Corporation | C32 | HOSE:C32 |
| Song Da 5 Joint Stock Company | SD5 | HNX:SD5 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SD9 | TTL | L10 | VC1 | C32 | SD5 | ||
| HNX:SD9 | HNX:TTL | HOSE:L10 | HNX:VC1 | HOSE:C32 | HNX:SD5 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 42.1% | NM- | NM- | NM- | -34.5% | -13.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 1.0% | 58.5% | NM- | NM- | -29.5% | -24.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -2.4% | -31.3% | NM | NM | 128.4% | -64.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 17.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 24.8% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 6.9% | -4.3% | 1.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 28.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 28.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.27x | 0.68x | 0.07x | 0.42x | 0.29x | 0.03x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.3x | 7.3x | 1.8x | 10.4x | 8.5x | 1.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 7.9x | 16.6x | 3.6x | 11.9x | 28.2x | 5.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 3.6x | 11.9x | 28.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 3.8x | 8.1x | 11.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 7.7x | 8.1x | 8.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 12,784 | 12,784 | 12,784 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 98,375 | 103,552 | 108,730 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 136,198 | 136,198 | 136,198 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 234,573 | 239,751 | 244,928 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 26.0 | 26.0 | 26.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 9,022.09 | 9,221.23 | 9,420.37 | ||||
| FX Rate: VND/VND | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 9,022.09 | 9,221.23 | 9,420.37 | 8,100.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 11.4% | 13.8% | 16.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SD9 | TTL | L10 | VC1 | C32 | SD5 | |
| Enterprise Value | 965,290 | 1,029,901 | 90,627 | 217,455 | 158,404 | 74,401 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 190,020 | 270,890 | 338,064 | 20,437 | 85,900 | 162,217 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 5,343 | 53,274 | 26,281 | 0 | 179,069 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (600,357) | (941,864) | (245,955) | (128,692) | (153,866) | (26,019) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (163,181) | (81,557) | 0 | 0 | (1,989) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 397,114 | 330,644 | 209,017 | 109,200 | 267,519 | 210,599 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 34.2 | 41.9 | 9.8 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 11,600.00 | 7,900.00 | 21,350.00 | 9,100.00 | 17,800.00 | 8,100.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 11,600.00 | 7,900.00 | 21,350.00 | 9,100.00 | 17,800.00 | 8,100.00 | |
| Trading Currency | VND | VND | VND | VND | VND | VND | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |