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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.3x - 0.3x | 0.3x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.3x - 0.3x | 0.3x |
Fair Value | €12.60 - €14.89 | €13.74 |
Upside | 36.7% - 61.4% | 49.1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Akwel SA | AKW | ENXTPA:AKW |
Sogefi S.p.A. | SGF | BIT:SGF |
Valeo SE | FR | ENXTPA:FR |
ElringKlinger AG | ZIL2 | DB:ZIL2 |
Schaeffler AG | SHA0 | DB:SHA0 |
OPmobility SE | OPM | ENXTPA:OPM |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
AKW | SGF | FR | ZIL2 | SHA0 | OPM | |||
ENXTPA:AKW | BIT:SGF | ENXTPA:FR | DB:ZIL2 | DB:SHA0 | ENXTPA:OPM | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 0.1% | -6.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | ||
3Y CAGR | 4.4% | -8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 0.5% | -37.2% | -2.5% | -2.4% | 11.5% | 1.6% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 3.8% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.08x | 0.28x | 0.29x | 0.33x | 0.49x | 0.25x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 1.5x | 5.1x | 6.6x | 50.6x | 11.5x | 6.6x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.18x | 0.21x | 0.10x | 0.17x | 0.20x | 0.12x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.08x | 0.29x | 0.49x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.25x | 0.32x | 0.77x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.29x | 0.31x | 0.33x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 10,484 | 10,484 | 10,484 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,089 | 3,251 | 3,414 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,282) | (1,282) | (1,282) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,807 | 1,969 | 2,132 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 141.3 | 141.3 | 141.3 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 12.79 | 13.94 | 15.09 | |||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 12.79 | 13.94 | 15.09 | 9.22 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 38.7% | 51.2% | 63.7% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | AKW | SGF | FR | ZIL2 | SHA0 | OPM | |
Enterprise Value | 79 | 290 | 6,319 | 579 | 11,299 | 2,584 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 141 | 57 | 3,173 | 124 | 1,281 | 671 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 2 | 4 | 424 | 14 | 203 | 452 | |
(-) Debt | (35) | (124) | (7,038) | (365) | (6,611) | (2,376) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (1) | (13) | (796) | (48) | (155) | (29) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 186 | 215 | 2,082 | 304 | 6,017 | 1,302 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 26.4 | 118.7 | 243.0 | 63.4 | 1,575.2 | 141.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 7.07 | 1.81 | 8.57 | 4.80 | 3.82 | 9.22 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 7.07 | 1.81 | 8.57 | 4.80 | 3.82 | 9.22 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |