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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 2.3x - 2.5x | 2.4x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.6x - 1.8x | 1.7x |
| Fair Value | €3.62 - €4 | €3.81 |
| Upside | 12.4% - 24.3% | 18.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Pop Mart International Group Limited | - | OTCPK:PMRT.Y |
| Ryohin Keikaku Co., Ltd. | - | OTCPK:RYKK.Y |
| Alibaba Group Holding Limited | - | NYSE:BABA |
| Vipshop Holdings Limited | - | NYSE:VIPS |
| JD.com, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:JD |
| MINISO Group Holding Limited | - | DUSE:MIF0 |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| PMRT.Y | RYKK.Y | BABA | VIPS | JD | MIF0 | |||
| OTCPK:PMRT.Y | OTCPK:RYKK.Y | NYSE:BABA | NYSE:VIPS | NasdaqGS:JD | DUSE:MIF0 | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 50.6% | 10.1% | 20.1% | 3.1% | 15.0% | 12.6% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 42.7% | 13.4% | 9.5% | -2.5% | 6.8% | 23.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 106.9% | 17.1% | 5.9% | -3.9% | 6.8% | 11.3% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 18.8% | 4.8% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 17.2% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 16.4% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 24.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 15.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 24.0% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 15.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 46.9x | 12.4x | 7.0x | 2.0x | 3.6x | 10.5x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 16.9x | 1.8x | 2.0x | 0.5x | 0.3x | 2.2x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 70.4x | 24.8x | 16.5x | 6.4x | 8.7x | 14.2x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.3x | 1.8x | 16.9x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 2.2x | 2.5x | 5.3x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 2.3x | 2.4x | 2.5x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 16,994 | 16,994 | 16,994 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 38,732 | 40,771 | 42,809 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,314.6 | 1,314.6 | 1,314.6 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 29.46 | 31.01 | 32.56 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/EUR | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.3 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.55 | 3.73 | 3.92 | 3.22 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 10.1% | 15.9% | 21.7% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | PMRT.Y | RYKK.Y | BABA | VIPS | JD | MIF0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 159,314 | 1,306,588 | 1,918,684 | 47,961 | 353,359 | 35,179 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,326.3 | 265.1 | 2,271.7 | 514.9 | 1,439.9 | 1,314.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 120.12 | 4,928.44 | 844.60 | 93.15 | 245.41 | 26.76 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 7.29 | 141.99 | 7.29 | 7.29 | 7.29 | 8.31 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 16.48 | 34.71 | 115.88 | 12.78 | 33.67 | 3.22 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 7.29 | 141.99 | 7.29 | 7.29 | 7.29 | 8.31 | |