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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 12.1x - 13.3x | 12.7x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 13.0x - 14.4x | 13.7x |
| Fair Value | ﷼14.30 - ﷼15.64 | ﷼14.97 |
| Upside | 0.0% - 9.4% | 4.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Widam Food Company Q.P.S.C. | WDAM | DSM:WDAM |
| Baladna Q.P.S.C. | BLDN | DSM:BLDN |
| Oman Flour Mills Company SAOG | OFMI | MSM:OFMI |
| Innodis Ltd | HWF.N0000 | MUSE:HWF.N0000 |
| East Delta Flour Mills | EDFM | CASE:EDFM |
| Zad Holding Company Q.P.S.C. | ZHCD | DSM:ZHCD |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| WDAM | BLDN | OFMI | HWF.N0000 | EDFM | ZHCD | ||
| DSM:WDAM | DSM:BLDN | MSM:OFMI | MUSE:HWF.N0000 | CASE:EDFM | DSM:ZHCD | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 7.3% | 1.4% | NM- | 4.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 8.8% | 16.3% | 18.4% | NM- | 21.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -115.7% | 30.6% | 39.8% | -11.7% | NM | 0.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -2.2% | 25.4% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 0.8% | 16.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -3.2% | 20.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | NA | 19.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -6.7% | 24.8% | 12.2% | 5.7% | NA | 20.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -6.7% | 24.8% | 12.6% | 5.5% | NA | 20.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.93x | 3.65x | 1.03x | 0.37x | 1.47x | 2.39x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -14.0x | 14.7x | 8.2x | 6.7x | NA | 11.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -11.6x | 26.0x | 10.9x | 10.1x | 11.2x | 13.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -14.0x | 7.4x | 14.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.9x | 15.4x | 23.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.1x | 12.7x | 13.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 299 | 299 | 299 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,607 | 3,797 | 3,987 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 442 | 442 | 442 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,049 | 4,239 | 4,429 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 287.4 | 287.4 | 287.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 14.09 | 14.75 | 15.41 | ||||
| FX Rate: QAR/QAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 14.09 | 14.75 | 15.41 | 14.29 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -1.4% | 3.2% | 7.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | WDAM | BLDN | OFMI | HWF.N0000 | EDFM | ZHCD | |
| Enterprise Value | 508 | 4,190 | 136 | 2,299 | 1,162 | 3,665 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 37 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 292 | 681 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 50 | 524 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 323 | |
| (-) Debt | (217) | (2,291) | (71) | (1,129) | 0 | (562) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (3) | 0 | (320) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 378 | 2,447 | 79 | 885 | 1,456 | 4,107 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 180.0 | 2,001.1 | 165.4 | 36.7 | 6.0 | 287.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.10 | 1.22 | 0.48 | 24.10 | 242.63 | 14.29 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.10 | 1.22 | 0.48 | 24.10 | 242.63 | 14.29 | |
| Trading Currency | QAR | QAR | OMR | MUR | EGP | QAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |