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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 12.3x - 13.6x | 12.9x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 13.1x - 14.5x | 13.8x |
Fair Value | ﷼14.45 - ﷼15.81 | ﷼15.13 |
Upside | -4.5% - 4.5% | 0.0% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Widam Food Company Q.P.S.C. | WDAM | DSM:WDAM |
Baladna Q.P.S.C. | BLDN | DSM:BLDN |
Anglo-Eastern Plantations Plc | AEPL.F | OTCPK:AEPL.F |
Sanford Limited | SAN | NZSE:SAN |
JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações | JOPA3 | BOVESPA:JOPA3 |
Zad Holding Company Q.P.S.C. | ZHCD | DSM:ZHCD |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
WDAM | BLDN | AEPL.F | SAN | JOPA3 | ZHCD | ||
DSM:WDAM | DSM:BLDN | OTCPK:AEPL.F | NZSE:SAN | BOVESPA:JOPA3 | DSM:ZHCD | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 11.5% | -0.6% | 12.3% | 4.4% | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | 8.8% | 7.1% | 25.5% | 1.4% | 21.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -115.7% | 30.6% | 3.9% | 43.2% | 34.8% | 0.4% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -2.2% | 25.4% | 25.5% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 16.2% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -3.2% | 20.6% | 32.1% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 19.0% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -6.7% | 24.8% | 23.1% | 13.7% | 6.6% | 20.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -6.7% | 24.8% | 24.3% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 20.0% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.99x | 3.58x | 0.50x | 1.16x | 0.43x | 2.62x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -14.8x | 14.4x | 2.1x | 8.5x | 6.2x | 13.1x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -12.3x | 25.5x | 2.5x | 12.7x | 6.7x | 15.1x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -14.8x | 6.2x | 14.4x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.1x | 15.4x | 23.2x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.3x | 12.9x | 13.6x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 299 | 299 | 299 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,670 | 3,863 | 4,056 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 442 | 442 | 442 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 4,112 | 4,305 | 4,498 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 287.4 | 287.4 | 287.4 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 14.31 | 14.98 | 15.65 | ||||
FX Rate: QAR/QAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 14.31 | 14.98 | 15.65 | 15.14 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -5.5% | -1.1% | 3.4% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | WDAM | BLDN | AEPL.F | SAN | JOPA3 | ZHCD | |
Enterprise Value | 537 | 4,094 | 191 | 669 | 951 | 3,909 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 37 | 28 | 154 | 14 | 575 | 681 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 50 | 524 | 38 | 1 | 4 | 323 | |
(-) Debt | (217) | (2,291) | (1) | (234) | (1,138) | (562) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (3) | (7) | (0) | (170) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 407 | 2,351 | 374 | 450 | 222 | 4,352 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 180.0 | 2,001.1 | 39.5 | 93.5 | 10.6 | 287.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 2.26 | 1.18 | 9.48 | 4.81 | 21.00 | 15.14 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.26 | 1.18 | 9.48 | 4.81 | 21.00 | 15.14 | |
Trading Currency | QAR | QAR | USD | NZD | BRL | QAR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |