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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2.9x - 3.2x | 3.0x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2.5x - 2.8x | 2.7x |
| Fair Value | €131.76 - €146.61 | €139.19 |
| Upside | -12.2% - -2.3% | -7.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Hexcel Corporation | HXL | NYSE:HXL |
| Moog Inc. | MOG.A | NYSE:MOG.A |
| General Electric Company | GE | NYSE:GE |
| General Dynamics Corporation | GD | NYSE:GD |
| HEICO Corporation | HEI | NYSE:HEI |
| Woodward, Inc. | WW1 | DB:WW1 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| HXL | MOG.A | GE | GD | HEI | WW1 | |||
| NYSE:HXL | NYSE:MOG.A | NYSE:GE | NYSE:GD | NYSE:HEI | DB:WW1 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -4.2% | 4.4% | -15.6% | 3.9% | 13.4% | 2.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 12.8% | 8.2% | -11.8% | 7.4% | 27.4% | 14.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 23.1% | 7.4% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 21.4% | 11.0% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 12.0% | 9.1% | 17.7% | 8.8% | 21.5% | 9.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.4% | 10.4% | 20.0% | 10.0% | 21.3% | 13.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.4% | 10.5% | 20.0% | 10.0% | 21.8% | 13.0% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.51x | 1.76x | 4.32x | 1.75x | 8.35x | 3.24x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 20.3x | 16.7x | 21.5x | 17.5x | 38.3x | 24.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.21x | 1.43x | 5.13x | 1.57x | 7.68x | 3.05x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.75x | 2.51x | 8.35x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 2.17x | 2.94x | 3.47x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.87x | 3.02x | 3.17x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 3,310 | 3,310 | 3,310 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 9,503 | 10,004 | 10,504 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (624) | (624) | (624) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 8,880 | 9,380 | 9,880 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 59.4 | 59.4 | 59.4 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 149.59 | 158.02 | 166.44 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 132.55 | 140.02 | 147.48 | 150.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -11.6% | -6.7% | -1.7% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | HXL | MOG.A | GE | GD | HEI | WW1 | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,778 | 6,417 | 164,850 | 83,246 | 32,990 | 10,672 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 139 | 73 | 14,201 | 1,697 | 165 | 284 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 5 | 0 | 39,582 | 0 | 0 | 18 | |
| (-) Debt | (726) | (1,286) | (20,378) | (10,676) | (2,354) | (926) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (223) | 0 | (488) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 4,196 | 5,204 | 198,032 | 74,267 | 30,313 | 10,049 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 80.4 | 31.6 | 1,066.6 | 268.0 | 120.8 | 59.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 52.20 | 164.71 | 185.67 | 277.14 | 250.94 | 169.28 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.13 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 52.20 | 164.71 | 185.67 | 277.14 | 250.94 | 150.00 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.13 | |