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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 4.5x - 5.0x | 4.8x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 4.0x - 4.4x | 4.2x |
| Fair Value | €11.80 - €13.04 | €12.42 |
| Upside | -13.3% - -4.1% | -8.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Bursa de Valori Bucuresti SA | - | BVB:BVB |
| Hellenic Exchanges - Athens Stock Exchange S.A. | - | ATSE:EXAE |
| Bulgarian Stock Exchange AD | - | BUL:BSE |
| Dr.Finance S.A. | - | WSE:DRF |
| Wise Energy S.A. | - | WSE:FMG |
| Gielda Papierów Wartosciowych w Warszawie S.A. | - | DB:WSX |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| BVB | EXAE | BSE | DRF | FMG | WSX | |||
| BVB:BVB | ATSE:EXAE | BUL:BSE | WSE:DRF | WSE:FMG | DB:WSX | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 17.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 30.3% | 6.7% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 19.4% | 14.4% | 6.1% | -4.4% | 92.9% | 4.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -10.7% | 20.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 169.2% | 4.5% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 17.8% | 25.0% | 50.0% | -1.0% | 12.5% | 36.1% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 29.8% | 28.8% | 70.5% | -0.4% | 12.6% | 35.1% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 16.7% | 33.3% | 88.2% | -2.4% | 6.7% | 32.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.1% | 36.4% | 97.3% | -3.2% | 3.5% | 32.0% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 24.1x | 12.7x | 2.2x | -12.7x | 2.0x | 13.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 4.9x | 6.8x | 5.9x | 0.3x | 0.3x | 5.2x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 37.4x | 18.8x | 6.1x | -10.7x | 7.6x | 16.3x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.3x | 4.9x | 6.8x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 3.7x | 4.2x | 5.2x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 4.5x | 4.8x | 5.0x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 465 | 465 | 465 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,098 | 2,209 | 2,319 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 42.0 | 42.0 | 42.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 49.99 | 52.62 | 55.25 | |||||
| FX Rate: PLN/EUR | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 11.75 | 12.37 | 12.99 | 13.60 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -13.6% | -9.0% | -4.5% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | BVB | EXAE | BSE | DRF | FMG | WSX | |
| Value of Common Equity | 393 | 405 | 118 | 3 | 37 | 2,428 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 8.8 | 57.9 | 12.9 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 42.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 44.60 | 7.00 | 9.15 | 0.85 | 107.50 | 57.85 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 4.25 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 44.60 | 7.00 | 9.15 | 0.85 | 107.50 | 13.60 | |
| Trading Currency | RON | EUR | BGN | PLN | PLN | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 4.25 | |