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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 14.4x - 15.9x | 15.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 9.9x - 11.0x | 10.5x |
| Fair Value | €51.88 - €56.86 | €54.37 |
| Upside | -36.7% - -30.6% | -33.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Deutsche Rohstoff AG | DR0 | XTRA:DR0 |
| EnviTec Biogas AG | ETG | XTRA:ETG |
| Verbio SE | VBK | XTRA:VBK |
| HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings S.A. | HLPN | DB:HLPN |
| Neste Oyj | NEF | DB:NEF |
| Friedrich Vorwerk Group SE | VH2 | DB:VH2 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| DR0 | ETG | VBK | HLPN | NEF | VH2 | ||
| XTRA:DR0 | XTRA:ETG | XTRA:VBK | DB:HLPN | DB:NEF | DB:VH2 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 55.0% | 26.0% | -2.9% | 3.2% | -61.4% | 15.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 31.2% | 20.7% | -22.8% | 0.1% | -78.9% | 14.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -8.1% | -51.1% | -106.7% | -92.7% | -105.8% | 89802.8% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 29.7% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 39.9% | 19.1% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | -0.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 31.9% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.1% | 10.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 31.2% | 11.4% | -0.3% | 0.6% | -0.3% | 11.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.29x | 1.05x | 0.57x | 0.44x | 0.75x | 2.80x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.9x | 6.0x | 17.6x | 15.1x | 26.6x | 18.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 4.1x | 9.2x | -210.6x | 75.8x | -229.2x | 24.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -229.2x | 4.1x | 75.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -35.6x | 15.0x | 18.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 14.4x | 15.1x | 15.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 65 | 65 | 65 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 928 | 977 | 1,025 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 92 | 92 | 92 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,020 | 1,068 | 1,117 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 50.98 | 53.42 | 55.86 | ||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 50.98 | 53.42 | 55.86 | 81.90 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -37.8% | -34.8% | -31.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | DR0 | ETG | VBK | HLPN | NEF | VH2 | |
| Enterprise Value | 307 | 371 | 837 | 5,052 | 15,596 | 1,546 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 26 | 27 | 73 | 766 | 981 | 110 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 25 | 17 | 0 | 191 | 87 | 13 | |
| (-) Debt | (160) | (121) | (267) | (3,362) | (5,344) | (31) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (7) | (8) | (3) | (53) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 191 | 287 | 640 | 2,593 | 11,320 | 1,638 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4.9 | 14.9 | 63.7 | 305.6 | 768.2 | 20.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 39.00 | 19.30 | 10.04 | 8.49 | 14.74 | 81.90 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 39.00 | 19.30 | 10.04 | 8.49 | 14.74 | 81.90 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |