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股息
財報
模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF EBITDA 退出價
股價
2.62
EUR
公允價值
5.18
EUR
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
10.0% - 9.0%
9.5%
Terminal EBITDA Multiple
6.8x - 8.8x
7.8x
Fair Value
€4.58 - €5.84
€5.18
Upside
66.0% - 111.4%
87.9%
4.1%
Revenue 10y CAGR
3.9%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
7.8%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: EBITDA Exit
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儲存
股價
2.62
EUR
公允價值
5.18
EUR
看漲
87.9%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(BRL in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Revenue
133,499
135,122
138,612
147,391
166,250
178,719
184,974
188,673
192,447
196,296
200,222
% Growth
5.9%
1.2%
2.6%
6.3%
12.8%
7.5%
3.5%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
EBITDA
5,063
5,964
6,246
6,563
6,875
6,303
6,524
6,654
6,787
6,923
7,061
% of Revenue
3.8%
4.4%
4.5%
4.5%
4.1%
3.5%
3.5%
3.5%
3.5%
3.5%
3.5%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(BRL in millions)
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
EBITDA
5,964
6,246
6,563
6,875
6,303
6,524
6,654
6,787
6,923
7,061
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(1,810)
(1,863)
(1,879)
(2,120)
(2,279)
(2,359)
(2,406)
(2,454)
(2,503)
(2,553)
EBIT
4,154
4,383
4,684
4,755
4,024
4,165
4,248
4,333
4,420
4,508
Pro forma Taxes
(1,122)
(1,183)
(1,265)
(1,284)
(1,087)
(1,125)
(1,147)
(1,170)
(1,193)
(1,217)
NOPAT
2,796
3,033
3,199
3,419
3,471
2,938
3,041
3,101
3,163
3,227
3,291
Capital Expenditures
(1,787)
(2,332)
(2,434)
(2,512)
(1,565)
(1,575)
(1,630)
(1,590)
(1,598)
(1,606)
(1,598)
NWC Investment
(318)
(69)
(149)
(374)
(804)
(532)
(267)
(158)
(161)
(164)
(167)
(+) D&A
1,233
1,810
1,863
1,879
2,120
2,279
2,359
2,406
2,454
2,503
2,553
Free Cash Flow
1,924
2,442
2,480
2,412
3,222
3,110
3,502
3,759
3,858
3,959
4,079
% Growth
27%
2%
-3%
34%
-3%
13%
7%
3%
3%
3%
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