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圖表
5 年 DCF EBITDA 退出價
股價
8.25
EUR
公允價值
13.49
EUR
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
8.0% - 7.0%
7.5%
Terminal EBITDA Multiple
3.1x - 5.1x
4.1x
Fair Value
€11.18 - €15.91
€13.49
Upside
35.5% - 92.8%
63.5%
5.5%
Revenue 5y CAGR
41.9%
5y Avg EBITDA Margin
18.8%
Unlevered FCF 5y CAGR
5-Year DCF Model: EBITDA Exit
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儲存
股價
8.25
EUR
公允價值
13.49
EUR
看漲
63.5%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(BRL in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Revenue
55,845
59,205
62,386
65,140
69,369
73,006
% Growth
7.2%
6.0%
5.4%
4.4%
6.5%
5.2%
EBITDA
17,407
24,312
25,864
27,493
29,322
30,970
% of Revenue
31.2%
41.1%
41.5%
42.2%
42.3%
42.4%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(BRL in millions)
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
EBITDA
24,312
25,864
27,493
29,322
30,970
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(14,633)
(14,358)
(13,564)
(13,879)
(14,181)
EBIT
9,679
11,506
13,929
15,443
16,789
Pro forma Taxes
(1,549)
(1,841)
(2,229)
(2,471)
(2,686)
NOPAT
7,560
8,130
9,665
11,701
12,972
14,103
Capital Expenditures
(9,324)
(9,150)
(9,259)
(9,783)
(11,793)
(12,411)
NWC Investment
130
117
111
96
147
127
(+) D&A
8,408
14,633
14,358
13,564
13,879
14,181
Free Cash Flow
6,774
13,730
14,875
15,577
15,205
15,999
% Growth
103%
8%
5%
-2%
5%
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